Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-02-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54023 1473 17 15 0
c1 715 6484 1297 523 0
c2 0 1114 3808 2418 0
c3 0 106 1058 2934 0
c4 0 6 111 1340 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53917 1628 16 0 0
c1 556 6915 2072 691 0
c2 0 446 3088 2777 0
c3 0 81 893 2535 0
c4 0 3 113 1360 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51909 1840 15 3 0
c1 443 6410 1906 710 0
c2 0 641 3368 2565 0
c3 0 64 912 2560 0
c4 0 3 131 830 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53381 1392 3 0 0
c1 347 5139 1764 810 0
c2 0 672 3280 3029 0
c3 0 64 1172 2598 0
c4 0 0 103 958 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53398 1421 3 1 0
c1 330 5103 1736 806 0
c2 0 682 3299 3010 0
c3 0 61 1181 2647 0
c4 0 0 103 931 0

Date: 2019-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53866 1684 15 0 0
c1 390 5224 1675 619 0
c2 0 911 3380 2893 0
c3 0 87 1237 2668 0
c4 0 52 144 944 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53828 1699 17 0 0
c1 428 5192 1678 634 0
c2 0 926 3369 2847 0
c3 0 93 1244 2733 0
c4 0 48 143 910 0

Date: 2019-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52505 1708 6 2 0
c1 390 5950 2068 753 0
c2 0 472 3147 2913 0
c3 0 16 998 2141 0
c4 0 0 147 1675 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52426 1756 7 5 0
c1 469 5347 1669 682 0
c2 0 958 3040 2628 0
c3 0 84 1460 2454 0
c4 0 1 190 1715 0

Date: 2019-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51447 1900 11 1 0
c1 343 5451 2046 706 0
c2 0 773 3247 2826 0
c3 0 36 1002 2345 0
c4 0 2 173 1241 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51359 2080 21 6 0
c1 429 4736 1726 639 0
c2 2 1196 3204 2504 0
c3 0 146 1320 2700 0
c4 0 4 208 1270 0

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51343 1511 35 12 0
c1 428 5637 1622 709 0
c2 0 1346 3398 2401 0
c3 0 69 1178 2171 0
c4 0 14 158 1267 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51222 1649 70 21 0
c1 549 4843 1380 636 0
c2 0 1865 3353 2077 0
c3 0 203 1393 2561 0
c4 0 17 195 1265 0


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