Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49474 1554 61 20 0
c1 476 5192 2106 722 0
c2 0 782 3864 4476 0
c3 0 34 641 2341 0
c4 0 8 91 540 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53797 1868 37 27 0
c1 404 5287 2427 612 0
c2 0 485 4291 3924 0
c3 0 30 428 2567 0
c4 0 2 42 1072 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52992 1651 51 21 0
c1 482 5045 2240 477 0
c2 0 660 4540 3891 0
c3 0 6 516 2674 0
c4 0 0 54 960 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53491 1517 39 55 0
c1 567 4627 1556 369 0
c2 0 857 4644 3708 0
c3 0 42 714 2728 0
c4 0 0 85 1176 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53485 1547 40 56 0
c1 573 4614 1547 363 0
c2 0 845 4640 3714 0
c3 0 37 728 2734 0
c4 0 0 83 1169 0

Date: 2019-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53424 1870 40 33 0
c1 615 5725 930 416 0
c2 0 1379 4293 3147 0
c3 0 66 755 2763 0
c4 0 0 65 1068 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53437 1894 41 33 0
c1 602 5710 942 424 0
c2 0 1376 4273 3153 0
c3 0 57 762 2756 0
c4 0 3 65 1061 0

Date: 2019-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51821 1491 14 28 0
c1 633 6017 1347 385 0
c2 0 645 3985 3107 0
c3 0 13 472 2664 0
c4 0 0 73 1242 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51691 1602 37 59 0
c1 759 5116 1101 337 0
c2 4 1425 3951 2786 0
c3 0 23 712 2953 0
c4 0 0 90 1291 0

Date: 2019-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53181 1342 11 24 0
c1 947 5290 1237 396 0
c2 1 888 3765 3050 0
c3 0 78 680 3032 0
c4 0 1 35 1226 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53001 1543 37 37 0
c1 1119 4474 1108 320 0
c2 9 1427 3654 2929 0
c3 0 155 896 3122 0
c4 0 0 33 1320 0

Date: 2019-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54348 1139 11 12 0
c1 939 4931 1183 336 0
c2 7 1316 3706 2556 0
c3 0 90 1087 2928 0
c4 0 2 47 1115 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54053 1482 17 12 0
c1 1130 3891 1250 353 0
c2 83 1750 3380 2450 0
c3 28 344 1270 2946 0
c4 0 11 117 1186 0


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