Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55061 1594 31 60 0
c1 780 4461 1490 510 0
c2 2 1138 4446 3999 0
c3 0 71 561 2692 0
c4 0 13 60 298 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44809 1602 60 33 0
c1 611 4951 2370 656 0
c2 0 742 4078 4431 0
c3 0 17 369 2027 0
c4 0 0 56 306 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49594 1736 63 43 0
c1 431 5473 2355 661 0
c2 0 577 3554 4428 0
c3 0 56 435 1808 0
c4 0 8 48 393 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54148 1556 80 33 0
c1 414 5096 2388 658 0
c2 0 621 3708 4310 0
c3 0 43 479 2274 0
c4 0 7 72 518 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54139 1557 82 33 0
c1 423 5109 2361 665 0
c2 0 607 3714 4316 0
c3 0 44 498 2253 0
c4 0 6 72 526 0

Date: 2019-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55008 1570 55 31 0
c1 443 4684 1923 398 0
c2 0 989 4472 3915 0
c3 0 34 747 2848 0
c4 0 12 63 1086 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54985 1647 53 32 0
c1 466 4625 1927 409 0
c2 0 967 4444 3930 0
c3 0 41 767 2858 0
c4 0 9 69 1049 0

Date: 2019-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55127 1708 42 34 0
c1 446 4882 2331 555 0
c2 0 567 4572 3945 0
c3 0 6 481 2796 0
c4 0 0 53 1077 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54934 1770 48 42 0
c1 628 4395 1983 333 0
c2 11 987 4597 4061 0
c3 0 11 783 2897 0
c4 0 0 68 1074 0

Date: 2019-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54181 1851 52 18 0
c1 506 5314 1796 369 0
c2 0 743 4690 3803 0
c3 0 22 686 2775 0
c4 0 1 109 1023 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53996 2032 59 25 0
c1 664 4538 1523 254 0
c2 27 1274 4596 3745 0
c3 0 86 1014 2918 0
c4 0 1 141 1046 0

Date: 2019-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53241 1746 40 57 0
c1 594 5369 1160 421 0
c2 0 1178 4610 3185 0
c3 0 29 748 2798 0
c4 0 0 79 1082 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53116 1904 55 83 0
c1 709 4526 963 361 0
c2 10 1649 4352 3094 0
c3 0 243 1167 2922 0
c4 0 0 100 1083 0


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