Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55726 1655 30 52 0
c1 820 4886 2132 1098 0
c2 0 1040 3991 3566 0
c3 0 72 644 2359 0
c4 0 0 40 102 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56494 2008 24 56 0
c1 345 5597 1767 826 0
c2 0 1140 3993 3386 0
c3 0 74 657 2401 0
c4 0 0 24 149 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56999 2272 45 40 0
c1 190 5498 1875 738 0
c2 0 1593 4151 3449 0
c3 0 116 739 2860 0
c4 0 0 20 163 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57390 2118 37 56 0
c1 298 5190 1596 740 0
c2 0 1899 4447 3679 0
c3 0 115 745 2658 0
c4 0 0 12 148 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57371 2105 39 57 0
c1 317 5178 1504 739 0
c2 0 1913 4533 3692 0
c3 0 126 747 2655 0
c4 0 0 14 138 0

Date: 2019-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42757 1640 14 101 0
c1 489 5075 1469 621 0
c2 6 1400 4511 3602 0
c3 0 154 723 2521 0
c4 0 0 33 174 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42768 1624 14 102 0
c1 477 5043 1449 599 0
c2 7 1437 4509 3619 0
c3 0 165 749 2528 0
c4 0 0 29 171 0

Date: 2019-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55057 2279 68 6 0
c1 315 5336 2491 671 0
c2 0 544 4205 3882 0
c3 0 7 364 1828 0
c4 0 0 94 254 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54890 2194 69 6 0
c1 460 4675 1455 480 0
c2 22 1211 4800 3623 0
c3 0 86 803 2265 0
c4 0 0 95 267 0

Date: 2019-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55507 2058 54 27 0
c1 548 4975 2165 642 0
c2 0 767 4092 3573 0
c3 0 64 575 2459 0
c4 0 26 81 316 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55270 2072 53 27 0
c1 729 4209 1555 462 0
c2 56 1435 4272 3313 0
c3 0 116 990 2892 0
c4 0 58 97 323 0

Date: 2019-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55061 1594 31 60 0
c1 780 4461 1490 510 0
c2 2 1138 4446 3999 0
c3 0 71 561 2692 0
c4 0 13 60 298 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54655 1602 40 61 0
c1 1152 3595 1034 361 0
c2 36 1926 4380 3743 0
c3 0 85 1046 3047 0
c4 0 69 88 347 0


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