Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59816 2108 64 40 0
c1 1637 8084 3465 1567 0
c2 5 1179 4050 4859 0
c3 0 17 216 1119 0
c4 0 1 5 83 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60577 1935 62 30 0
c1 693 8270 4202 1719 0
c2 0 528 3040 4491 0
c3 0 52 341 1193 0
c4 0 12 60 76 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59919 1819 23 22 0
c1 716 10108 3653 1845 0
c2 0 1119 3427 3782 0
c3 0 26 322 1562 0
c4 0 2 40 92 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59924 1600 28 72 0
c1 658 10000 3263 1455 0
c2 0 948 4004 3676 0
c3 0 60 433 1811 0
c4 0 0 39 84 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59896 1649 28 71 0
c1 686 9959 3221 1478 0
c2 0 940 4044 3722 0
c3 0 60 436 1746 0
c4 0 0 38 81 0

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58300 1495 21 99 0
c1 863 9306 2815 1248 0
c2 0 784 3664 3863 0
c3 0 49 365 1677 0
c4 0 0 10 79 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58251 1538 20 99 0
c1 912 9261 2787 1243 0
c2 0 781 3695 3921 0
c3 0 54 361 1630 0
c4 0 0 12 73 0

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59364 1458 34 82 0
c1 359 7857 3371 1801 0
c2 0 350 3396 3567 0
c3 0 16 224 1290 0
c4 0 0 39 80 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59098 1315 32 86 0
c1 625 7629 2448 1123 0
c2 0 713 4219 4023 0
c3 0 24 324 1502 0
c4 0 0 41 86 0

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59499 1353 34 92 0
c1 675 6635 2789 1628 0
c2 0 423 3573 3511 0
c3 0 11 242 1606 0
c4 0 0 15 132 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59133 1335 36 95 0
c1 1041 6519 2344 1028 0
c2 0 553 3899 3926 0
c3 0 15 353 1789 0
c4 0 0 21 131 0

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59626 1417 42 61 0
c1 890 6877 2779 1657 0
c2 0 490 3516 4059 0
c3 0 3 230 1674 0
c4 0 0 20 170 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59492 1499 43 71 0
c1 1024 6618 2367 1184 0
c2 0 657 3655 4247 0
c3 0 13 494 1942 0
c4 0 0 28 177 0


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