Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-06

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63121 2125 52 15 0
c1 1276 9007 3652 1136 0
c2 0 1206 4560 4269 0
c3 0 9 180 684 0
c4 0 0 25 85 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62615 2270 40 16 0
c1 979 9477 3673 1075 0
c2 0 652 4332 4656 0
c3 0 13 131 625 0
c4 0 0 16 107 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60004 2180 88 17 0
c1 1427 8130 3949 1372 0
c2 0 1223 4587 4234 0
c3 0 25 185 772 0
c4 0 1 12 126 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61197 2188 59 29 0
c1 1807 8207 3397 1580 0
c2 2 1214 4123 4550 0
c3 0 17 147 968 0
c4 0 0 4 54 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61240 2177 58 31 0
c1 1762 8193 3424 1599 0
c2 4 1239 4093 4555 0
c3 0 17 151 943 0
c4 0 0 4 53 0

Date: 2018-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60362 2042 121 35 0
c1 1500 8402 3372 1408 0
c2 9 1092 4222 4817 0
c3 0 23 351 1171 0
c4 0 1 48 127 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60319 2031 111 35 0
c1 1543 8379 3359 1404 0
c2 9 1126 4243 4804 0
c3 0 24 353 1188 0
c4 0 0 48 127 0

Date: 2018-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59705 1920 48 31 0
c1 729 9504 4067 1994 0
c2 0 857 3005 4076 0
c3 0 52 260 1303 0
c4 0 11 41 78 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59320 1875 60 33 0
c1 1099 8601 3132 1456 0
c2 15 1744 3768 4418 0
c3 0 111 404 1494 0
c4 0 13 57 81 0

Date: 2018-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58914 1752 32 59 0
c1 609 9748 3261 1596 0
c2 0 1103 3916 3408 0
c3 0 19 367 1697 0
c4 0 0 36 97 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58596 1828 60 62 0
c1 927 8666 2283 1033 0
c2 0 2046 4602 3742 0
c3 0 81 627 1924 0
c4 0 1 40 96 0

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59379 1371 24 101 0
c1 724 8742 2908 1226 0
c2 0 868 3979 3647 0
c3 0 53 374 1680 0
c4 0 0 35 72 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59094 1465 25 108 0
c1 1009 7715 1870 646 0
c2 0 1709 4720 3871 0
c3 0 145 676 2037 0
c4 0 0 29 64 0


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