Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75007 3277 0 0 0
c1 919 16114 5281 2093 0
c2 0 250 1612 1465 0
c3 0 18 62 70 0
c4 0 8 14 50 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72036 2744 7 6 0
c1 486 14754 6129 2125 0
c2 0 118 1689 1894 0
c3 0 8 46 99 0
c4 0 5 20 40 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72933 2358 3 3 0
c1 667 14292 5844 2420 0
c2 0 217 1865 2210 0
c3 0 0 64 110 0
c4 0 2 11 21 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70906 2183 5 2 0
c1 884 13366 6612 2373 0
c2 0 185 2312 2617 0
c3 0 0 108 95 0
c4 0 0 10 29 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70873 2174 6 2 0
c1 917 13370 6596 2360 0
c2 0 190 2339 2618 0
c3 0 0 98 111 0
c4 0 0 8 25 0

Date: 2018-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72433 2347 4 10 0
c1 780 12070 6613 2501 0
c2 0 448 1715 2511 0
c3 0 4 94 115 0
c4 0 0 7 19 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72280 2373 4 10 0
c1 933 12063 6646 2455 0
c2 0 433 1693 2544 0
c3 0 0 83 130 0
c4 0 0 7 17 0

Date: 2018-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70927 2315 11 13 0
c1 620 9805 6751 2740 0
c2 0 366 1512 2499 0
c3 0 0 69 96 0
c4 0 0 7 25 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70478 2051 11 13 0
c1 1069 10013 6852 3147 0
c2 0 422 1432 2079 0
c3 0 0 49 111 0
c4 0 0 6 23 0

Date: 2018-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68792 2336 20 19 0
c1 749 9703 5812 2571 0
c2 0 143 2277 3206 0
c3 0 0 40 104 0
c4 0 0 6 6 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68394 2279 20 19 0
c1 1147 9698 5801 2842 0
c2 0 205 2295 2919 0
c3 0 0 33 121 0
c4 0 0 6 5 0

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66235 2854 20 0 0
c1 591 9382 5545 2105 0
c2 1 275 2690 3666 0
c3 0 0 44 127 0
c4 0 0 6 5 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66007 2854 20 0 0
c1 819 8975 5296 2154 0
c2 1 681 2936 3582 0
c3 0 1 46 160 0
c4 0 0 7 7 0


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