Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79677 3787 16 4 0
c1 1410 14019 3984 897 0
c2 3 512 873 981 0
c3 0 178 217 302 0
c4 0 121 158 368 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81038 3588 2 1 0
c1 913 14164 4993 1393 0
c2 0 130 978 1202 0
c3 0 29 56 276 0
c4 0 10 36 83 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78489 2789 3 1 0
c1 1241 15677 4588 1695 0
c2 0 166 1061 1132 0
c3 0 21 62 79 0
c4 0 16 44 126 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74776 3120 0 0 0
c1 1075 16080 5428 1630 0
c2 0 204 1417 1482 0
c3 0 14 63 82 0
c4 0 6 14 58 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74918 3340 1 0 0
c1 933 15860 5444 1606 0
c2 0 200 1402 1463 0
c3 0 18 60 124 0
c4 0 6 15 59 0

Date: 2018-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72682 3284 2 0 0
c1 875 15087 5788 2369 0
c2 0 283 1649 1583 0
c3 0 13 73 92 0
c4 0 7 21 53 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72691 3447 3 0 0
c1 866 14930 5817 2376 0
c2 0 274 1631 1569 0
c3 0 17 62 98 0
c4 0 6 20 54 0

Date: 2018-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74516 2396 11 2 0
c1 559 14501 6042 2244 0
c2 0 159 1673 2218 0
c3 0 3 50 100 0
c4 0 4 13 45 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74269 3039 11 2 0
c1 806 13706 6182 2563 0
c2 0 309 1510 1870 0
c3 0 5 65 125 0
c4 0 4 21 49 0

Date: 2018-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73605 2288 6 1 0
c1 822 14261 6064 2230 0
c2 0 228 2209 2385 0
c3 0 0 82 113 0
c4 0 1 12 50 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73359 2840 6 1 0
c1 1068 13594 6110 2343 0
c2 0 343 2138 2234 0
c3 0 0 111 148 0
c4 0 1 8 53 0

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70964 2261 7 4 0
c1 905 12482 6325 2851 0
c2 0 230 2105 2664 0
c3 0 0 65 131 0
c4 0 0 8 23 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70315 2816 6 4 0
c1 1554 11786 6067 2645 0
c2 0 371 2343 2784 0
c3 0 0 86 215 0
c4 0 0 8 25 0


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