Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-04-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51428 2613 31 38 0
c1 181 5422 1927 666 0
c2 0 892 3781 2922 0
c3 0 57 1285 2991 0
c4 0 4 353 1582 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53462 1952 13 3 0
c1 274 5408 2012 837 0
c2 0 660 3379 3718 0
c3 0 39 1433 2898 0
c4 0 22 492 1596 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51914 1804 15 6 0
c1 214 5107 1874 706 0
c2 0 1057 3481 3347 0
c3 0 64 1074 3076 0
c4 0 108 405 1635 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52436 1925 26 10 0
c1 266 5162 1725 470 0
c2 0 1447 3492 2732 0
c3 0 125 1156 2610 0
c4 0 125 321 3230 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52446 1976 26 9 0
c1 256 5166 1755 493 0
c2 0 1396 3498 2733 0
c3 0 120 1123 2575 0
c4 0 126 318 3242 0

Date: 2018-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52259 2062 12 0 0
c1 248 5098 1301 479 0
c2 0 1550 3686 2329 0
c3 0 209 1123 2448 0
c4 0 99 402 1527 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52250 2122 9 0 0
c1 257 5078 1380 486 0
c2 0 1504 3630 2395 0
c3 0 215 1103 2370 0
c4 0 99 402 1532 0

Date: 2018-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53610 1784 18 2 0
c1 253 5557 1729 596 0
c2 0 1045 3555 2654 0
c3 0 119 1132 2318 0
c4 0 93 292 1589 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53569 1824 22 4 0
c1 294 4796 1185 402 0
c2 0 1652 3465 2485 0
c3 0 195 1480 2470 0
c4 0 131 574 1798 0

Date: 2018-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52166 2042 20 7 0
c1 173 5134 973 421 0
c2 0 1825 3159 2433 0
c3 0 272 1364 2093 0
c4 0 67 407 1608 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52092 2157 36 13 0
c1 247 4207 779 370 0
c2 0 2425 2744 2223 0
c3 0 341 1700 2177 0
c4 0 210 664 1779 0

Date: 2018-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52304 2118 24 8 0
c1 217 5610 834 334 0
c2 0 2298 4002 2286 0
c3 0 281 1836 2771 0
c4 0 57 391 1987 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52153 2178 34 7 0
c1 368 4680 707 334 0
c2 0 2950 3442 2005 0
c3 0 382 2203 2921 0
c4 0 174 701 2119 0


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