Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52856 1805 68 25 0
c1 555 4784 2100 802 0
c2 0 945 3345 2638 0
c3 0 207 1692 3404 0
c4 0 57 225 988 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48329 1719 33 4 0
c1 288 5069 2647 1108 0
c2 0 739 3249 2795 0
c3 0 163 1192 3017 0
c4 0 51 152 1521 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51521 2095 24 19 0
c1 191 5039 2629 885 0
c2 0 717 3815 2755 0
c3 0 74 1580 3240 0
c4 0 3 279 1431 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52390 2457 28 33 0
c1 209 5453 2148 615 0
c2 0 849 3852 2819 0
c3 0 51 1198 3333 0
c4 0 10 383 1646 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52403 2448 30 33 0
c1 196 5483 2167 661 0
c2 0 830 3842 2812 0
c3 0 50 1192 3268 0
c4 0 9 378 1672 0

Date: 2018-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51239 2264 36 20 0
c1 148 5074 1788 689 0
c2 0 951 3519 3070 0
c3 0 75 1405 2970 0
c4 0 12 500 1587 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51220 2343 35 26 0
c1 167 5016 1831 713 0
c2 0 931 3484 3049 0
c3 0 76 1388 2939 0
c4 0 10 510 1609 0

Date: 2018-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52313 2040 12 5 0
c1 202 5616 1929 773 0
c2 0 767 3364 3827 0
c3 0 51 1098 3231 0
c4 0 50 387 1438 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52295 2424 35 17 0
c1 220 4800 1527 737 0
c2 0 1126 3489 3348 0
c3 0 122 1203 3630 0
c4 0 52 536 1542 0

Date: 2018-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53379 1719 21 11 0
c1 217 4977 1998 621 0
c2 0 1137 3632 3032 0
c3 0 109 1073 2715 0
c4 0 110 279 2546 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53268 1979 52 20 0
c1 328 4130 1611 555 0
c2 0 1634 3708 2719 0
c3 0 188 1275 2988 0
c4 0 121 357 2643 0

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52501 1716 14 2 0
c1 278 4395 1323 457 0
c2 0 1285 3466 2645 0
c3 0 173 1311 2461 0
c4 0 112 339 1598 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52395 2122 43 11 0
c1 384 3391 1049 378 0
c2 0 1649 3435 2448 0
c3 0 395 1479 2674 0
c4 0 124 447 1652 0


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