Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54687 1945 57 28 0
c1 510 6743 1652 846 0
c2 3 1021 3563 2581 0
c3 0 59 1340 3236 0
c4 0 80 199 869 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53189 2041 9 6 0
c1 480 7226 2462 1033 0
c2 0 834 3253 2947 0
c3 0 54 1169 3619 0
c4 0 6 138 1547 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44073 1997 40 6 0
c1 524 6403 2538 1306 0
c2 0 911 3335 2643 0
c3 0 208 1306 4763 0
c4 0 47 315 2555 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53168 1944 75 11 0
c1 747 5708 2353 1375 2
c2 0 1167 3184 2329 1
c3 0 372 1274 3618 0
c4 0 123 390 2208 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53208 1947 79 10 0
c1 707 5726 2343 1399 2
c2 0 1156 3202 2297 1
c3 0 365 1257 3635 0
c4 0 120 395 2200 0

Date: 2018-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53811 2005 77 38 0
c1 742 6108 1956 1024 0
c2 19 1352 2798 2449 0
c3 0 589 1316 3402 0
c4 0 107 351 1227 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53785 2015 81 33 0
c1 771 6123 1947 1018 0
c2 16 1329 2823 2464 0
c3 0 588 1294 3392 0
c4 0 106 353 1233 0

Date: 2018-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53730 1784 30 34 0
c1 763 8038 2191 1256 0
c2 0 980 2475 3007 0
c3 0 91 861 2919 0
c4 0 48 258 852 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53549 2073 46 51 0
c1 944 6871 1750 962 0
c2 0 1501 2401 2696 0
c3 0 409 1243 3375 0
c4 0 87 375 984 0

Date: 2018-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52286 1918 22 43 0
c1 732 7722 2231 1035 0
c2 0 1206 2132 2211 0
c3 0 173 1212 2976 0
c4 0 86 306 691 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52220 2127 35 52 0
c1 798 6943 1649 711 0
c2 0 1499 2141 1939 0
c3 0 433 1713 3424 0
c4 0 103 365 830 0

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52190 2029 30 38 0
c1 480 7028 2464 1269 0
c2 0 1161 2098 2136 0
c3 0 284 1755 2808 0
c4 0 74 372 746 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52139 2382 64 48 0
c1 531 6178 1815 944 0
c2 0 1458 2117 1839 0
c3 0 446 2259 3234 0
c4 0 112 464 932 0


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