Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55031 1592 9 3 0
c1 975 6370 1093 508 0
c2 0 1398 4234 2379 0
c3 0 77 697 3033 0
c4 0 9 54 668 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55073 1948 1 0 0
c1 455 7573 1868 665 0
c2 0 614 3800 2565 0
c3 0 22 758 3323 0
c4 0 6 37 414 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51361 1992 8 0 0
c1 468 7640 1610 842 0
c2 0 839 3611 2515 0
c3 0 15 783 3632 0
c4 0 14 73 604 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53685 2042 47 21 0
c1 521 7248 1611 765 0
c2 0 738 3811 2363 0
c3 0 31 918 3020 0
c4 0 38 148 536 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53683 2094 46 17 0
c1 523 7184 1600 729 0
c2 0 743 3806 2402 0
c3 0 38 936 3016 0
c4 0 38 147 541 0

Date: 2018-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52985 1770 66 12 0
c1 533 6373 2073 938 0
c2 2 1088 3636 2587 0
c3 0 135 1421 3143 0
c4 0 117 319 1241 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53003 1803 52 10 0
c1 515 6289 2090 920 0
c2 2 1128 3606 2578 0
c3 0 154 1455 3161 0
c4 0 109 312 1252 0

Date: 2018-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53973 2064 18 11 0
c1 565 6196 2265 1202 0
c2 0 955 3550 2485 0
c3 0 100 1465 4156 0
c4 0 10 212 2060 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53875 2379 49 18 0
c1 663 5253 1937 1051 0
c2 0 1334 3425 2324 0
c3 0 226 1765 4346 0
c4 0 133 334 2175 0

Date: 2018-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53387 2147 33 13 0
c1 667 6256 2486 1404 0
c2 0 1068 3332 2346 0
c3 0 269 1187 4414 0
c4 0 52 307 3167 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53312 2403 95 9 0
c1 742 5608 2188 1285 0
c2 0 1184 3194 2254 0
c3 0 339 1440 4444 0
c4 0 258 428 3352 0

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49660 2236 49 8 0
c1 752 6447 2130 1160 0
c2 2 1286 2835 2697 0
c3 0 452 1065 3628 0
c4 0 127 284 2064 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49501 2445 117 0 0
c1 911 6045 1928 942 0
c2 0 1105 2805 2636 0
c3 0 465 1136 3766 0
c4 2 488 377 2213 0


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