Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55959 1749 12 15 0
c1 806 5274 1940 1011 0
c2 0 971 3670 2677 0
c3 0 67 1017 2544 0
c4 0 21 177 798 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54662 1921 9 24 0
c1 395 5629 2693 907 0
c2 0 368 3946 3282 0
c3 0 61 851 2837 0
c4 0 6 125 778 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53630 1730 30 13 0
c1 258 5532 2495 982 0
c2 0 529 4215 3034 0
c3 0 94 1112 2680 0
c4 0 5 57 1007 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51563 1893 19 11 0
c1 282 5040 1950 903 0
c2 0 468 4390 2997 0
c3 0 12 1406 2860 0
c4 0 6 67 755 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51565 1956 20 12 0
c1 280 4970 1943 914 0
c2 0 477 4394 2967 0
c3 0 9 1393 2853 0
c4 0 7 82 780 0

Date: 2018-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54418 2007 11 18 0
c1 472 5959 1479 622 0
c2 0 810 4345 2630 0
c3 0 25 1360 2993 0
c4 0 7 70 1269 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54446 2052 12 15 0
c1 444 5946 1443 625 0
c2 0 779 4365 2622 0
c3 0 24 1366 2988 0
c4 0 7 79 1282 0

Date: 2018-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53697 2007 1 0 0
c1 650 6671 1287 422 0
c2 0 1328 4594 2916 0
c3 0 71 919 2960 0
c4 0 17 48 221 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53419 2001 8 6 0
c1 928 6324 1173 392 0
c2 0 1617 4318 2757 0
c3 0 136 1277 3081 0
c4 0 16 73 283 0

Date: 2018-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53897 1914 0 0 0
c1 860 6807 1342 407 0
c2 0 1178 4433 2602 0
c3 0 61 961 2469 0
c4 0 0 36 241 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53592 2080 1 0 0
c1 1164 6200 1408 432 0
c2 1 1553 3885 2398 0
c3 0 125 1413 2567 0
c4 0 2 65 322 0

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55031 1592 9 3 0
c1 975 6370 1093 508 0
c2 0 1398 4234 2379 0
c3 0 77 697 3033 0
c4 0 9 54 668 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54581 1621 12 3 0
c1 1417 5945 1119 485 0
c2 8 1613 3655 2104 0
c3 0 247 1211 3195 0
c4 0 20 90 804 0


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