Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57182 1352 8 4 0
c1 1135 4744 1595 666 0
c2 0 1211 4213 2991 0
c3 0 68 1111 3077 0
c4 0 13 208 1054 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56926 1428 4 1 0
c1 837 5586 2124 1385 0
c2 0 547 3520 2599 0
c3 0 43 681 2062 0
c4 0 21 90 800 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55062 1498 18 16 0
c1 636 5605 1743 1546 0
c2 0 598 3370 3086 0
c3 0 44 735 2013 0
c4 0 10 127 585 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55627 1581 15 6 0
c1 803 5313 1755 1193 0
c2 0 881 3398 2784 0
c3 0 45 830 2411 0
c4 0 8 129 682 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55610 1584 13 6 0
c1 820 5288 1747 1184 0
c2 0 904 3395 2779 0
c3 0 44 844 2418 0
c4 0 8 128 689 0

Date: 2018-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56284 1622 16 30 0
c1 724 4866 2133 766 0
c2 0 937 3905 2733 0
c3 0 84 1251 2696 0
c4 0 26 140 800 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56248 1635 15 29 0
c1 760 4844 2084 737 0
c2 0 946 3955 2726 0
c3 0 95 1255 2717 0
c4 0 15 136 816 0

Date: 2018-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55658 1950 17 15 0
c1 389 5321 2542 956 0
c2 0 418 4091 3321 0
c3 0 54 953 2837 0
c4 0 11 108 826 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55333 2021 22 29 0
c1 714 4788 2033 780 0
c2 0 844 4183 3060 0
c3 0 97 1330 3169 0
c4 0 4 143 917 0

Date: 2018-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54281 2007 7 2 0
c1 270 5445 2312 938 0
c2 0 435 4184 3062 0
c3 0 22 1142 3114 0
c4 0 1 72 748 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54078 2102 21 16 0
c1 473 4856 1801 820 0
c2 0 915 4152 2755 0
c3 0 37 1656 3398 0
c4 0 0 87 875 0

Date: 2018-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53611 1949 17 23 0
c1 391 5641 1743 823 0
c2 0 545 3956 3064 0
c3 0 19 1269 2705 0
c4 0 0 77 927 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53346 2020 27 45 0
c1 656 5014 1427 680 0
c2 0 1047 3792 2810 0
c3 0 72 1674 2872 0
c4 0 1 142 1135 0


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