Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54487 1652 33 17 0
c1 566 4457 2203 935 0
c2 0 831 4467 4149 0
c3 0 27 646 2011 0
c4 0 2 93 404 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56797 1802 17 0 0
c1 512 5648 2334 788 0
c2 0 479 3750 4350 0
c3 0 20 343 1596 0
c4 0 0 24 292 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55843 1565 7 0 0
c1 366 5764 2204 576 0
c2 0 602 3940 4529 0
c3 0 14 388 1559 0
c4 0 0 28 321 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57498 1788 6 0 0
c1 393 5769 2020 522 0
c2 0 676 3813 4579 0
c3 0 40 500 1864 0
c4 0 9 26 614 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57490 1741 4 0 0
c1 401 5798 1952 532 0
c2 0 693 3907 4601 0
c3 0 41 473 1802 0
c4 0 9 29 644 0

Date: 2018-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56768 1755 9 11 0
c1 563 6210 1341 309 0
c2 0 1142 3687 4198 0
c3 0 15 696 1985 0
c4 0 9 27 629 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56737 1749 9 6 0
c1 594 6165 1400 321 0
c2 0 1192 3634 4192 0
c3 0 16 687 1949 0
c4 0 9 30 664 0

Date: 2018-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55176 1864 2 3 0
c1 505 7136 1900 478 0
c2 0 758 3377 3291 0
c3 0 19 684 1753 0
c4 0 12 114 693 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54869 1852 10 31 0
c1 796 6077 1011 320 0
c2 16 1755 4027 3117 0
c3 0 92 869 1983 0
c4 0 13 160 767 0

Date: 2018-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55966 1509 11 6 0
c1 816 6334 1936 432 0
c2 0 1077 3753 2440 0
c3 0 71 951 2092 0
c4 0 19 176 839 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55678 1636 27 29 0
c1 1090 5091 1022 302 0
c2 14 2144 4312 2300 0
c3 0 114 1227 2203 0
c4 0 25 239 975 0

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57182 1352 8 4 0
c1 1135 4744 1595 666 0
c2 0 1211 4213 2991 0
c3 0 68 1111 3077 0
c4 0 13 208 1054 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56818 1445 23 30 0
c1 1479 3524 1048 524 0
c2 20 2282 4371 2698 0
c3 0 108 1417 3251 0
c4 0 29 276 1289 0


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