Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 58029 1807 93 28 0
c1 619 5592 2986 1267 0
c2 0 801 4318 4070 0
c3 0 87 971 2762 0
c4 0 11 206 479 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56701 2208 48 9 0
c1 327 5533 3108 1322 0
c2 0 606 3871 3964 0
c3 0 11 506 2238 0
c4 0 10 103 458 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54941 1953 56 25 0
c1 490 6052 2734 1116 0
c2 0 701 4026 4146 0
c3 0 15 573 1621 0
c4 0 7 110 382 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56822 1837 25 15 0
c1 604 5374 2512 908 0
c2 0 847 4485 3793 0
c3 0 43 672 1905 0
c4 0 0 119 429 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56832 1914 33 22 0
c1 594 5276 2503 921 0
c2 0 874 4498 3773 0
c3 0 37 658 1885 0
c4 0 0 121 449 0

Date: 2018-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 57290 1619 29 5 0
c1 835 4862 1831 815 0
c2 0 829 4596 3986 0
c3 0 20 679 2016 0
c4 0 0 50 393 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 57236 1638 30 8 0
c1 882 4811 1793 818 0
c2 7 855 4635 3981 0
c3 0 26 674 1981 0
c4 0 0 53 427 0

Date: 2018-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56310 1838 17 3 0
c1 448 5666 2330 738 0
c2 0 529 4247 4450 0
c3 0 28 328 1623 0
c4 0 0 16 258 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55934 1668 27 13 0
c1 816 5384 1758 566 0
c2 8 952 4473 3992 0
c3 0 57 655 2153 0
c4 0 0 25 348 0

Date: 2018-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56002 1826 4 2 0
c1 426 5932 2220 494 0
c2 0 565 3817 4579 0
c3 0 19 331 1614 0
c4 0 0 35 380 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 55645 1583 14 2 0
c1 777 5621 1698 396 0
c2 6 1079 3957 3889 0
c3 0 59 697 2296 0
c4 0 0 41 486 0

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53904 1552 16 8 0
c1 427 5853 1695 466 0
c2 0 745 3785 3727 0
c3 0 26 551 1944 0
c4 0 12 45 593 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53585 1350 21 20 0
c1 745 5431 1330 400 0
c2 1 1299 3697 3039 0
c3 0 96 965 2537 0
c4 0 12 79 742 0


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