Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-12-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59447 2087 88 8 0
c1 709 8932 4433 1863 0
c2 0 1118 3455 3262 0
c3 0 54 447 1750 0
c4 0 3 62 352 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59046 1960 53 28 0
c1 517 7212 3878 1884 0
c2 0 605 3211 4120 0
c3 0 14 279 1835 0
c4 0 1 15 194 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58396 1665 56 71 0
c1 1039 8628 4006 1376 0
c2 0 618 4254 4157 0
c3 0 24 424 2181 0
c4 0 1 6 148 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58761 1590 63 40 0
c1 1348 7587 3230 1466 0
c2 0 973 4399 4508 0
c3 0 39 822 2459 0
c4 0 7 47 267 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58788 1622 63 39 0
c1 1321 7571 3236 1468 0
c2 0 959 4362 4473 0
c3 0 38 844 2480 0
c4 0 6 56 280 0

Date: 2017-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58297 1582 85 45 0
c1 1365 7160 3014 1199 0
c2 5 1032 4426 3911 0
c3 0 127 1312 2557 0
c4 0 3 96 281 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58297 1565 92 48 0
c1 1364 7174 3047 1168 0
c2 6 1032 4354 3927 0
c3 0 127 1327 2559 0
c4 0 6 113 291 0

Date: 2017-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57509 1725 111 25 0
c1 403 6070 2983 1689 0
c2 0 486 3613 3894 0
c3 0 63 938 3535 0
c4 0 19 202 495 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56896 1394 131 27 0
c1 1005 6117 2609 1357 0
c2 11 720 3672 4133 0
c3 0 106 1180 3511 0
c4 0 26 255 610 0

Date: 2017-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58314 1608 124 19 0
c1 491 5919 2825 1199 0
c2 0 554 3916 4039 0
c3 0 64 1102 3365 0
c4 0 14 223 440 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57848 1547 143 18 0
c1 955 5628 2493 1016 0
c2 2 866 3798 4019 0
c3 0 84 1363 3413 0
c4 0 34 393 596 0

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58029 1807 93 28 0
c1 619 5592 2986 1267 0
c2 0 801 4318 4070 0
c3 0 87 971 2762 0
c4 0 11 206 479 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57532 1815 118 32 0
c1 1095 5022 2594 995 0
c2 21 1241 4170 4016 0
c3 0 198 1357 2989 0
c4 0 22 335 574 0


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