Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-12-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61099 2734 76 11 0
c1 1123 9000 4226 1108 0
c2 0 761 3244 3334 0
c3 0 23 314 1584 0
c4 0 6 62 285 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58029 3188 59 3 0
c1 317 9129 4814 1784 0
c2 0 571 3023 3226 0
c3 0 57 276 1511 0
c4 0 6 143 320 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58690 2809 64 12 0
c1 602 8450 4615 1859 0
c2 0 820 3092 3528 0
c3 0 109 318 1601 0
c4 0 89 133 293 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60401 2255 100 8 0
c1 898 9183 3556 1237 0
c2 0 972 3332 3536 0
c3 0 61 446 1512 0
c4 0 1 137 322 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60425 2333 96 7 0
c1 874 9098 3542 1180 0
c2 0 975 3306 3568 0
c3 0 65 492 1532 0
c4 0 1 135 328 0

Date: 2017-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60030 1953 107 33 0
c1 672 8508 4443 2058 0
c2 0 1088 3530 3717 0
c3 0 43 486 1785 0
c4 0 2 35 322 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60006 1991 137 32 0
c1 696 8464 4342 1986 0
c2 0 1089 3556 3749 0
c3 0 48 527 1803 0
c4 0 2 39 345 0

Date: 2017-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58958 1677 54 36 0
c1 750 8223 4682 1911 0
c2 0 567 3706 4293 0
c3 0 23 301 1860 0
c4 0 1 10 137 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58810 1740 62 37 0
c1 898 7577 4155 1681 0
c2 0 1137 3873 4357 0
c3 0 34 636 1920 0
c4 0 3 27 242 0

Date: 2017-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58579 1763 60 67 0
c1 1249 7450 3758 1541 0
c2 4 827 4264 4307 0
c3 0 25 638 2331 0
c4 0 1 26 195 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58325 1864 67 70 0
c1 1492 6665 3300 1438 0
c2 15 1420 4401 4222 0
c3 0 116 931 2480 0
c4 0 1 47 231 0

Date: 2017-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59270 1526 70 49 0
c1 1339 7411 2550 766 0
c2 1 1176 4400 4197 0
c3 0 67 1144 2337 0
c4 0 8 69 246 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58811 1661 77 59 0
c1 1773 6715 2039 684 0
c2 26 1695 4469 4151 0
c3 0 106 1552 2407 0
c4 0 11 96 294 0


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