Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71600 2574 14 2 0
c1 939 12136 2997 1043 0
c2 0 662 4413 4152 0
c3 0 7 145 720 0
c4 0 11 96 185 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66777 2497 31 4 0
c1 580 10905 3840 1124 0
c2 0 292 3440 4546 0
c3 0 3 83 519 0
c4 0 0 28 113 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68925 2387 17 8 0
c1 961 10739 3910 1316 0
c2 0 262 2279 4383 0
c3 0 10 122 304 0
c4 0 0 34 73 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62908 2457 35 2 0
c1 1166 9598 5022 1480 0
c2 0 345 2465 4344 0
c3 0 11 197 678 0
c4 0 0 28 107 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62895 2484 34 1 0
c1 1179 9571 5029 1493 0
c2 0 345 2459 4372 0
c3 0 11 193 632 0
c4 0 0 32 113 0

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69204 2288 30 22 0
c1 1760 8994 4742 1510 0
c2 0 595 3057 3936 0
c3 0 29 160 700 0
c4 0 0 46 134 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69212 2304 30 21 0
c1 1752 8981 4750 1479 0
c2 0 590 3041 3975 0
c3 0 30 157 686 0
c4 0 1 57 141 0

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67526 2402 33 12 0
c1 886 8880 4386 1475 0
c2 0 604 2632 3618 0
c3 0 30 155 555 0
c4 0 1 14 96 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66301 2145 48 15 0
c1 2110 8934 3864 1121 0
c2 1 801 3104 3963 0
c3 0 36 165 531 0
c4 0 1 39 126 0

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67201 2595 48 7 0
c1 1143 9228 3753 1340 0
c2 0 738 2183 3418 0
c3 0 63 197 478 0
c4 0 10 152 240 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66451 2433 49 10 0
c1 1892 8842 2787 943 0
c2 1 1259 3132 3803 0
c3 0 72 201 490 0
c4 0 28 164 237 0

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65398 2827 61 10 0
c1 998 10306 3253 951 0
c2 0 984 2866 3420 0
c3 0 53 268 809 0
c4 0 15 149 275 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64932 3059 74 10 0
c1 1464 9272 2392 550 0
c2 0 1753 3626 3740 0
c3 0 56 330 886 0
c4 0 45 175 279 0


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