Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74065 3366 12 1 0
c1 1209 9542 4857 1467 0
c2 0 364 3159 2445 0
c3 0 3 284 337 0
c4 0 0 60 135 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73891 3859 7 0 0
c1 563 9305 4990 1490 0
c2 0 231 2758 3114 0
c3 0 0 60 198 0
c4 0 0 16 125 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71848 3277 0 0 0
c1 929 11277 3535 1229 0
c2 0 586 3208 3244 0
c3 0 10 110 127 0
c4 0 10 53 120 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71983 2782 0 0 0
c1 840 12112 3375 1077 0
c2 0 586 4074 3974 0
c3 0 10 199 618 0
c4 0 16 71 188 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71918 2643 0 0 0
c1 905 12262 3497 1101 0
c2 0 574 3941 3916 0
c3 0 10 213 656 0
c4 0 17 68 184 0

Date: 2017-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70271 2338 21 13 0
c1 1206 11374 3171 1067 0
c2 0 569 4464 4193 0
c3 0 2 136 627 0
c4 0 3 75 183 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70179 2210 21 13 0
c1 1298 11512 3186 1075 0
c2 0 559 4444 4154 0
c3 0 2 141 665 0
c4 0 3 75 176 0

Date: 2017-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70984 2679 12 9 0
c1 682 10864 3791 1266 0
c2 0 270 2491 4587 0
c3 0 0 105 335 0
c4 0 3 37 63 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70228 2384 12 9 0
c1 1438 11009 3422 1125 0
c2 0 415 2830 4637 0
c3 0 5 121 404 0
c4 0 3 51 85 0

Date: 2017-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63265 2380 15 6 0
c1 1127 9935 4501 1532 0
c2 0 280 2202 4571 0
c3 0 3 163 647 0
c4 0 0 23 75 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62547 2083 23 6 0
c1 1844 10029 4155 1309 0
c2 1 466 2452 4727 0
c3 0 17 230 649 0
c4 0 3 44 140 0

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67404 2437 39 9 0
c1 1340 9518 4869 1513 0
c2 0 440 2683 4317 0
c3 0 26 172 643 0
c4 0 0 36 93 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66640 2249 42 9 0
c1 2097 9305 4294 1352 0
c2 7 812 3177 4352 0
c3 0 42 213 726 0
c4 0 13 73 136 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIthickness/SMOSiceWebPage.sh Fri Nov 24 02:03:37 UTC 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy