Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81061 3163 17 0 0
c1 995 11216 3174 618 0
c2 0 355 1508 1709 0
c3 0 20 209 424 0
c4 0 8 179 389 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81948 3354 32 6 0
c1 306 10279 4321 977 0
c2 0 110 1385 1646 0
c3 0 3 117 290 0
c4 0 3 72 111 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79233 3078 13 0 0
c1 495 10998 4180 982 0
c2 0 94 1191 1560 0
c3 0 10 126 275 0
c4 0 4 45 94 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80146 3071 26 0 0
c1 563 10589 5249 1250 0
c2 0 99 1221 1706 0
c3 0 3 119 267 0
c4 0 1 64 112 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80161 3197 20 0 0
c1 548 10454 5214 1250 0
c2 0 107 1242 1676 0
c3 0 4 141 292 0
c4 0 1 62 117 0

Date: 2017-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76954 3044 31 0 0
c1 1012 9893 4901 1678 0
c2 0 177 1254 1961 0
c3 0 4 85 180 0
c4 0 0 69 108 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77032 3219 27 0 0
c1 934 9699 4876 1638 0
c2 0 196 1277 1974 0
c3 0 4 85 201 0
c4 0 0 75 114 0

Date: 2017-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77249 2921 9 1 0
c1 555 9628 5358 1424 0
c2 0 186 1615 2076 0
c3 0 13 78 202 0
c4 0 0 49 93 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76719 3381 10 1 0
c1 1083 9009 5196 1346 0
c2 2 331 1724 2069 0
c3 0 13 84 263 0
c4 0 14 95 117 0

Date: 2017-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75740 3374 16 3 0
c1 837 9639 4988 1473 0
c2 0 407 2754 1822 0
c3 0 13 140 330 0
c4 0 0 61 108 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75251 3672 43 3 0
c1 1319 9191 4767 1356 0
c2 7 551 2850 1882 0
c3 0 10 201 351 0
c4 0 9 98 144 0

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74065 3366 12 1 0
c1 1209 9542 4857 1467 0
c2 0 364 3159 2445 0
c3 0 3 284 337 0
c4 0 0 60 135 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73205 3566 27 1 0
c1 2044 9040 4754 1575 0
c2 25 661 3063 2291 0
c3 0 6 410 339 0
c4 0 2 118 179 0


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