Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 90690 2788 0 0 0
c1 522 5108 616 114 0
c2 3 1661 2179 1930 0
c3 0 1056 803 844 0
c4 0 1051 418 353 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 89921 3034 0 0 0
c1 855 5598 347 72 0
c2 2 1659 2177 2312 0
c3 0 671 1017 1184 0
c4 0 439 518 750 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82272 3288 0 0 0
c1 1105 5925 405 113 0
c2 4 1908 2748 1969 0
c3 0 572 1051 1107 0
c4 0 190 470 472 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82236 3454 0 0 0
c1 1140 5800 402 116 0
c2 4 1844 2802 2016 0
c3 1 586 971 1050 0
c4 0 199 499 479 0

Date: 2017-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 85264 3331 0 0 0
c1 820 6794 673 63 0
c2 5 1870 2926 1625 0
c3 0 485 901 820 0
c4 0 99 439 344 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 85118 3535 0 0 0
c1 965 6627 671 68 0
c2 6 1802 2991 1662 0
c3 0 470 843 771 0
c4 0 145 434 351 0

Date: 2017-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86691 2922 0 0 0
c1 812 6984 1070 161 0
c2 2 1463 2475 1965 0
c3 0 314 862 751 0
c4 0 139 325 293 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86115 3534 0 0 0
c1 1388 6361 1042 162 0
c2 2 1485 2558 2012 0
c3 0 360 790 688 0
c4 0 82 342 308 0

Date: 2017-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 85356 3189 0 0 0
c1 876 8091 1004 90 0
c2 4 1348 1827 1781 0
c3 0 369 762 808 0
c4 0 38 306 342 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 84987 3986 1 1 0
c1 1249 7268 1020 83 0
c2 0 1367 1904 1795 0
c3 0 398 699 793 0
c4 0 16 275 349 0

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86427 3198 0 0 0
c1 1182 8515 822 174 0
c2 16 1474 1177 1355 0
c3 4 324 745 666 0
c4 0 153 398 292 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86105 3855 0 0 0
c1 1520 7876 802 168 0
c2 4 1506 1277 1357 0
c3 0 350 691 653 0
c4 0 77 372 309 0


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