Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39057 1554 18 1 0
c1 1044 6958 712 178 0
c2 4 2070 3701 2833 0
c3 3 399 1293 3057 0
c4 0 21 316 648 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47517 1730 15 10 0
c1 329 5753 750 166 0
c2 1 2074 3348 1958 0
c3 0 450 1265 2868 0
c4 0 25 266 697 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46848 1344 10 11 0
c1 702 5393 740 170 0
c2 7 2666 4384 2260 0
c3 0 545 1777 3178 0
c4 0 31 269 812 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42997 1614 9 8 0
c1 1154 5057 797 219 0
c2 5 2704 3755 2537 0
c3 0 548 1869 3039 0
c4 0 36 369 1455 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43025 1670 9 6 0
c1 1127 5033 848 235 0
c2 4 2698 3712 2496 0
c3 0 517 1853 3020 0
c4 0 41 377 1501 0

Date: 2017-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51276 1422 24 9 0
c1 1174 4963 812 295 0
c2 20 2306 3029 2567 0
c3 1 668 1839 3302 0
c4 0 138 405 1818 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51252 1407 25 9 0
c1 1202 5010 869 333 0
c2 17 2290 2973 2466 0
c3 0 656 1840 3194 0
c4 0 134 402 1989 0

Date: 2017-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53665 1568 18 4 0
c1 703 4750 711 288 0
c2 2 1698 2923 2217 0
c3 0 533 2030 3354 0
c4 0 147 663 2118 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53301 1616 24 7 0
c1 1061 4669 833 324 0
c2 8 1683 2782 2243 0
c3 0 549 1941 3171 0
c4 0 179 765 2236 0

Date: 2017-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53757 1965 22 16 0
c1 458 5127 660 202 0
c2 23 1764 3123 2198 0
c3 1 434 2466 4007 0
c4 0 159 915 2711 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53549 2024 25 12 0
c1 663 4992 873 269 0
c2 27 1788 2895 2189 0
c3 0 408 2237 3806 0
c4 0 237 1156 2858 0

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53718 1658 16 7 0
c1 723 5065 744 310 0
c2 37 1964 3077 1879 0
c3 0 402 2476 3798 0
c4 0 203 797 2447 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53494 1758 18 9 0
c1 915 4768 978 352 0
c2 66 2011 2743 1953 0
c3 3 370 2285 3484 0
c4 0 385 1086 2643 0


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