Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51813 1752 57 25 0
c1 1198 6112 1047 229 0
c2 8 2113 3719 2958 0
c3 0 330 1308 3818 0
c4 0 14 188 372 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55366 1983 43 3 0
c1 663 6478 939 175 0
c2 0 1957 3612 2597 0
c3 0 265 1198 3304 0
c4 0 32 237 438 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55491 2019 21 4 0
c1 1343 5722 540 189 0
c2 14 2689 3263 1847 0
c3 3 605 1164 2596 0
c4 0 35 263 422 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55366 2206 31 0 0
c1 1164 6945 576 144 0
c2 4 2421 4133 2224 0
c3 3 486 1293 3228 0
c4 0 37 293 684 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55416 2195 30 0 0
c1 1114 6900 595 140 0
c2 4 2489 4086 2215 0
c3 3 469 1325 3244 0
c4 0 42 290 681 0

Date: 2017-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55399 1791 12 2 0
c1 759 6705 731 198 0
c2 4 2148 3948 2522 0
c3 1 426 1714 3176 0
c4 0 27 400 684 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55412 1812 9 2 0
c1 746 6661 783 194 0
c2 4 2181 3929 2542 0
c3 1 408 1674 3146 0
c4 0 35 410 698 0

Date: 2017-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52346 1701 7 10 0
c1 442 6334 711 147 0
c2 2 2429 3574 2303 0
c3 0 459 1656 3299 0
c4 0 28 260 717 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52129 1688 14 10 0
c1 660 6266 793 161 0
c2 1 2506 3488 2372 0
c3 0 470 1624 3167 0
c4 0 21 289 766 0

Date: 2017-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48310 1502 12 6 0
c1 1015 5244 842 197 0
c2 8 2516 3904 2419 0
c3 0 468 1724 2856 0
c4 0 40 272 1150 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48107 1518 21 11 0
c1 1223 5020 811 234 0
c2 3 2766 3951 2361 0
c3 0 458 1710 2754 0
c4 0 8 261 1268 0

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52856 1464 15 7 0
c1 1100 4395 784 198 0
c2 23 2103 2726 2107 0
c3 2 460 1368 2709 0
c4 0 113 390 1542 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52709 1506 32 18 0
c1 1245 4043 746 191 0
c2 27 2464 2797 2210 0
c3 0 429 1323 2484 0
c4 0 93 385 1660 0


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