Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72757 1606 7 3 0
c1 3327 8159 1996 790 0
c2 12 1560 3940 5380 0
c3 1 270 854 823 0
c4 0 3 132 528 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63153 1745 6 2 0
c1 1002 9097 1324 700 0
c2 6 1943 3913 5538 0
c3 0 237 1052 1058 0
c4 0 0 194 527 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68915 1970 5 1 0
c1 1075 8712 1656 324 0
c2 13 1197 3989 2911 0
c3 0 207 902 1062 0
c4 0 2 79 595 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67917 1855 0 0 0
c1 1120 8321 2035 359 0
c2 5 902 4001 3076 0
c3 0 177 415 1488 0
c4 0 3 98 462 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67962 1845 0 0 0
c1 1072 8372 2072 394 0
c2 8 849 3969 3100 0
c3 0 190 410 1439 0
c4 0 2 98 452 0

Date: 2016-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70682 2010 0 0 0
c1 1153 7757 2246 496 0
c2 1 921 3992 2843 0
c3 0 98 418 1008 0
c4 0 4 151 366 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70741 2029 0 0 0
c1 1094 7779 2213 506 0
c2 1 869 4044 2863 0
c3 0 108 396 981 0
c4 0 5 154 363 0

Date: 2016-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70222 2173 3 1 0
c1 574 7485 1964 553 0
c2 2 1308 3719 2863 0
c3 0 161 528 866 0
c4 0 16 207 309 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69518 2248 2 1 0
c1 1268 7360 1984 596 0
c2 12 1334 3660 2836 0
c3 0 185 572 855 0
c4 0 16 203 304 0

Date: 2016-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61362 2484 5 0 0
c1 732 7638 1762 368 0
c2 0 1689 3624 2681 0
c3 0 217 602 865 0
c4 0 58 201 258 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60869 2631 5 0 0
c1 1224 7452 1820 421 0
c2 1 1709 3527 2636 0
c3 0 231 630 851 0
c4 0 63 212 264 0

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64445 2399 13 6 0
c1 1134 7580 1358 192 0
c2 0 2013 4181 2514 0
c3 0 130 582 943 0
c4 0 12 95 326 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64065 2611 12 5 0
c1 1513 7428 1569 229 0
c2 1 1941 3889 2469 0
c3 0 143 635 939 0
c4 0 11 124 339 0


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