Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-27

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82759 1975 2 0 0
c1 4792 9888 1748 810 0
c2 12 621 1059 1270 0
c3 5 376 385 522 0
c4 0 71 535 526 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80240 1831 1 0 0
c1 4269 9852 2214 962 0
c2 8 703 1050 1399 0
c3 1 415 461 364 0
c4 0 139 610 464 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65735 1734 2 0 0
c1 5003 10718 2066 783 0
c2 8 926 1059 1223 0
c3 2 480 454 431 0
c4 0 158 507 549 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77374 1577 0 0 0
c1 5804 11604 1714 463 0
c2 10 1088 1255 1146 0
c3 0 545 436 772 0
c4 0 283 291 915 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77375 1580 0 0 0
c1 5802 11635 1716 498 0
c2 9 1049 1275 1125 0
c3 2 522 410 734 0
c4 0 311 295 939 0

Date: 2016-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77314 1448 0 0 0
c1 6585 10788 1534 743 0
c2 9 957 994 1213 0
c3 2 241 401 1124 0
c4 0 102 322 1334 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77286 1469 0 0 0
c1 6607 10788 1569 777 0
c2 13 911 984 1202 0
c3 4 262 371 1066 0
c4 0 106 327 1369 0

Date: 2016-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79362 1943 0 0 0
c1 4271 10381 1565 603 0
c2 3 1054 1187 1106 0
c3 0 228 355 816 0
c4 0 190 387 866 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76395 1877 0 0 0
c1 7219 10363 1607 592 0
c2 22 1119 1149 1101 0
c3 0 236 342 801 0
c4 0 201 396 897 0

Date: 2016-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76686 1837 0 0 0
c1 4861 10567 1757 750 0
c2 4 1110 1287 1421 0
c3 0 217 461 1016 0
c4 0 124 394 911 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75148 1849 0 0 0
c1 6385 10438 1860 752 0
c2 18 1183 1179 1421 0
c3 0 243 447 1009 0
c4 0 142 413 916 0

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74219 1833 5 6 0
c1 4618 10745 2331 757 0
c2 3 994 1604 1760 0
c3 0 144 450 1130 0
c4 0 33 292 554 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73210 1783 5 6 0
c1 5622 10745 2298 708 0
c2 6 994 1609 1873 0
c3 2 178 463 1050 0
c4 0 49 307 570 0


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