Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-06

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83423 2449 0 0 0
c1 2318 9512 996 240 0
c2 30 1441 1768 757 0
c3 9 891 413 321 0
c4 0 547 573 545 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90949 2465 0 0 0
c1 1477 8861 1243 556 0
c2 11 1630 1639 712 0
c3 0 820 592 219 0
c4 0 423 650 688 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90040 2438 0 0 0
c1 2222 9959 991 298 0
c2 13 1989 1497 1042 0
c3 5 782 420 518 0
c4 0 630 641 2728 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 87706 2359 0 0 0
c1 2763 9566 1008 727 0
c2 12 1712 1242 1812 0
c3 5 1194 409 354 0
c4 0 853 626 3087 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 87563 2372 0 0 0
c1 2907 9592 957 631 0
c2 8 1679 1288 1919 0
c3 6 1141 404 348 0
c4 2 900 636 3082 0

Date: 2016-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89052 2430 0 0 0
c1 2914 9375 1191 708 0
c2 13 1470 1501 1737 0
c3 4 768 576 333 0
c4 0 489 609 482 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88799 2397 0 0 0
c1 3162 9419 1165 632 0
c2 16 1445 1521 1823 0
c3 4 741 589 322 0
c4 2 530 602 483 0

Date: 2016-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86812 2052 0 0 0
c1 4838 8940 1793 983 0
c2 6 833 1785 2220 0
c3 1 383 549 801 0
c4 0 199 484 664 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 87746 2228 0 0 0
c1 3888 8598 1732 875 0
c2 12 896 1816 2332 0
c3 8 405 572 810 0
c4 3 280 491 651 0

Date: 2016-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72110 2082 0 0 0
c1 5202 9317 1958 748 0
c2 4 877 1733 1999 0
c3 0 367 547 848 0
c4 0 162 484 782 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73081 2336 0 0 0
c1 4218 8936 1875 650 0
c2 8 915 1803 2085 0
c3 8 387 538 856 0
c4 1 231 506 786 0

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84360 2196 0 0 0
c1 4903 8649 2342 1556 0
c2 1 802 1782 1923 0
c3 0 360 623 752 0
c4 0 108 544 799 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85352 2461 0 0 0
c1 3904 8227 2224 1400 0
c2 8 877 1886 2047 0
c3 0 370 630 798 0
c4 0 180 551 785 0


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