Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-09-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89179 1961 0 0 0
c1 1716 9473 1377 98 0
c2 17 1904 1375 466 0
c3 13 990 452 273 0
c4 0 1160 718 4839 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89813 1987 0 0 0
c1 1887 9701 993 332 0
c2 13 1536 1388 1170 0
c3 3 704 407 669 0
c4 0 691 515 1164 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89941 2050 0 0 0
c1 1755 9639 913 309 0
c2 15 1522 1462 1195 0
c3 5 715 413 613 0
c4 0 693 515 1218 0

Date: 2016-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88200 2454 0 0 0
c1 2718 9069 1229 293 0
c2 36 1348 1843 623 0
c3 16 993 546 146 0
c4 0 896 619 477 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88305 2587 0 0 0
c1 2614 8932 1174 239 0
c2 32 1296 1908 674 0
c3 19 1034 499 131 0
c4 0 911 656 495 0

Date: 2016-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 91416 2419 0 0 0
c1 1763 9594 1101 322 0
c2 14 1760 1525 1024 0
c3 2 761 617 343 0
c4 0 585 670 846 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90486 2503 0 0 0
c1 2655 9399 1035 282 0
c2 33 1775 1556 1089 0
c3 19 780 609 287 0
c4 2 662 713 877 0

Date: 2016-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90136 2459 2 0 0
c1 2462 9822 821 646 0
c2 22 1857 1260 1468 0
c3 6 980 317 598 0
c4 0 789 686 3051 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89317 2535 2 0 0
c1 3263 9643 745 514 0
c2 32 1821 1290 1622 0
c3 11 975 339 494 0
c4 3 933 710 3133 0

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89659 2362 0 0 0
c1 2902 9278 1133 660 0
c2 13 1499 1566 1639 0
c3 2 618 490 657 0
c4 0 488 514 1875 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88716 2484 0 0 0
c1 3838 8990 1131 538 0
c2 13 1551 1526 1697 0
c3 7 621 436 613 0
c4 2 599 610 1983 0


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