Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44969 1678 21 24 0
c1 1389 5400 1009 415 0
c2 14 2001 1913 1027 0
c3 0 897 2394 1965 0
c4 0 230 1183 4225 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53440 1431 29 10 0
c1 833 4855 773 404 0
c2 20 1763 2229 1227 0
c3 0 753 2240 2593 0
c4 0 310 1350 4816 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51613 1524 14 7 0
c1 769 5514 675 340 0
c2 24 2007 2046 1044 0
c3 0 899 2540 2267 0
c4 0 247 1345 5409 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53176 1520 12 26 0
c1 879 5525 713 335 0
c2 36 2194 1913 874 0
c3 0 856 2367 2184 0
c4 0 216 1400 5186 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53156 1521 13 25 0
c1 908 5550 715 345 0
c2 27 2169 1921 908 0
c3 0 849 2350 2169 0
c4 0 222 1406 5158 0

Date: 2016-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52480 1665 29 37 0
c1 1265 4973 656 386 0
c2 77 2079 1744 935 0
c3 0 828 2395 2216 0
c4 0 143 1462 4432 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52465 1676 25 38 0
c1 1289 4990 677 419 0
c2 68 2050 1757 930 0
c3 0 827 2350 2222 0
c4 0 145 1477 4397 0

Date: 2016-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50363 1536 30 32 0
c1 1341 4260 728 244 0
c2 65 2257 1797 889 0
c3 0 865 2683 2222 0
c4 0 177 1411 4141 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49930 1497 40 40 0
c1 1699 4248 742 252 0
c2 122 2285 1829 921 0
c3 18 875 2615 2180 0
c4 0 190 1423 4135 0

Date: 2016-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53997 1499 41 11 0
c1 1316 3590 575 229 0
c2 91 2366 1906 973 0
c3 0 847 2883 2507 0
c4 0 156 1204 4091 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53421 1462 59 11 0
c1 1775 3653 582 246 0
c2 174 2323 1933 1047 0
c3 34 868 2741 2418 0
c4 0 152 1294 4089 0

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54144 1643 40 16 0
c1 1036 4266 637 257 0
c2 106 2296 1983 1295 0
c3 0 982 2700 2735 0
c4 0 188 1119 3939 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53683 1502 64 17 0
c1 1366 4246 759 284 0
c2 213 2305 1943 1385 0
c3 24 1067 2514 2757 0
c4 0 255 1199 3799 0


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