Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48499 1360 15 24 0
c1 2169 4749 644 225 0
c2 51 2202 2030 966 0
c3 2 804 2486 2283 0
c4 0 38 765 2559 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52887 1513 29 11 0
c1 1176 5837 584 230 0
c2 43 2375 1933 1056 0
c3 11 993 2546 2491 0
c4 0 42 717 2635 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48725 1413 28 13 0
c1 1680 5443 841 312 0
c2 45 1796 1824 1001 0
c3 8 560 1746 1959 0
c4 0 18 473 2133 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52437 1312 32 20 0
c1 1653 5015 978 380 0
c2 50 2181 1984 1117 0
c3 0 701 2288 2157 0
c4 0 84 808 2335 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52334 1316 39 20 0
c1 1755 5010 964 390 0
c2 51 2181 1998 1131 0
c3 0 700 2267 2135 0
c4 0 86 822 2333 0

Date: 2016-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39609 1603 2 3 0
c1 1310 5544 637 482 0
c2 6 2253 1969 827 0
c3 0 870 2742 2315 0
c4 0 174 1024 3737 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39461 1697 5 18 0
c1 1448 5496 710 501 0
c2 16 2221 1888 938 0
c3 0 849 2742 2247 0
c4 0 181 1029 3660 0

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44969 1678 21 24 0
c1 1389 5400 1009 415 0
c2 14 2001 1913 1027 0
c3 0 897 2394 1965 0
c4 0 230 1183 4225 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44895 1789 26 41 0
c1 1450 5133 976 414 0
c2 27 2037 1741 1086 0
c3 0 937 2591 1904 0
c4 0 310 1186 4211 0


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