Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54462 1217 52 33 0
c1 1057 4867 1031 476 0
c2 17 1982 3431 2776 0
c3 0 338 1334 2727 0
c4 0 49 448 2608 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53063 1331 32 56 0
c1 911 5123 821 298 0
c2 54 2146 3392 2578 0
c3 0 251 1343 2617 0
c4 0 54 659 2733 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54289 1106 42 50 0
c1 1254 4474 657 429 0
c2 49 2210 3233 1981 0
c3 0 291 1213 3007 0
c4 0 94 487 2446 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52809 1383 31 66 0
c1 1457 4712 544 384 0
c2 45 2389 3239 1798 0
c3 0 422 1430 3168 0
c4 0 93 523 2584 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52825 1428 35 62 0
c1 1441 4693 531 394 0
c2 45 2360 3280 1856 0
c3 0 429 1405 3117 0
c4 0 89 516 2571 0

Date: 2016-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54324 1278 26 51 0
c1 1655 4580 795 285 0
c2 66 2028 3114 1926 0
c3 0 405 2090 3189 0
c4 0 85 627 3240 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54308 1357 26 55 0
c1 1670 4549 810 301 0
c2 67 1951 3175 1953 0
c3 0 425 2019 3141 0
c4 0 94 622 3241 0

Date: 2016-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53743 1471 40 41 0
c1 1462 4810 476 227 0
c2 42 2039 2891 1606 0
c3 14 370 2183 3379 0
c4 0 141 615 3174 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53113 1359 44 45 0
c1 2058 4778 505 190 0
c2 90 2142 2889 1706 0
c3 0 409 2142 3337 0
c4 0 143 625 3149 0

Date: 2016-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53926 1149 23 27 0
c1 1442 5121 550 188 0
c2 52 2070 2851 1279 0
c3 0 389 2334 2830 0
c4 0 90 621 3768 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53152 1040 19 21 0
c1 2144 4919 549 120 0
c2 124 2364 2914 1400 0
c3 0 410 2289 2763 0
c4 0 86 608 3788 0

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54299 1262 37 49 0
c1 1007 4651 613 244 0
c2 40 1853 2878 1693 0
c3 0 344 2518 3436 0
c4 0 49 536 3422 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53629 1185 29 41 0
c1 1577 4408 683 216 0
c2 140 2136 2832 1801 0
c3 0 390 2512 3330 0
c4 0 40 526 3456 0


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