Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54848 1260 42 19 0
c1 1310 5453 1279 374 0
c2 38 2447 3231 2413 0
c3 0 450 1827 2656 0
c4 0 90 298 2266 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48455 1289 36 32 0
c1 932 5304 1216 455 0
c2 64 2546 3421 2492 0
c3 0 474 1806 2805 0
c4 0 111 396 2682 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53543 1329 37 33 0
c1 986 5565 971 460 0
c2 30 2529 3339 2648 0
c3 0 351 1491 2873 0
c4 0 44 509 2737 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54209 1149 36 43 0
c1 943 5209 1038 511 0
c2 11 1856 3507 2399 0
c3 0 272 1540 2526 0
c4 0 61 485 2592 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54173 1165 34 41 0
c1 973 5208 1063 536 0
c2 17 1834 3516 2422 0
c3 0 278 1507 2481 0
c4 0 62 486 2591 0

Date: 2016-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53160 1338 32 64 0
c1 1181 4632 828 337 0
c2 31 2123 3510 2463 0
c3 0 382 1524 2474 0
c4 0 44 558 2695 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53095 1364 32 67 0
c1 1239 4635 856 340 0
c2 38 2085 3498 2469 0
c3 0 405 1522 2447 0
c4 0 30 544 2710 0

Date: 2016-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50031 1204 35 48 0
c1 1121 4719 710 412 0
c2 52 2259 3552 2792 0
c3 0 326 1395 2823 0
c4 0 83 616 2125 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49609 1109 42 60 0
c1 1509 4672 715 403 0
c2 86 2343 3533 2829 0
c3 0 390 1442 2835 0
c4 0 77 576 2073 0

Date: 2016-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52398 1448 25 42 0
c1 1376 5088 619 410 0
c2 37 2211 3381 1980 0
c3 0 332 1317 3490 0
c4 0 93 538 2768 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52003 1427 32 59 0
c1 1659 4983 658 407 0
c2 122 2264 3377 2060 0
c3 27 395 1269 3510 0
c4 0 103 544 2654 0

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53620 1413 33 64 0
c1 1482 4843 696 349 0
c2 47 2195 3077 1897 0
c3 0 436 1765 3074 0
c4 0 118 590 3209 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53107 1277 35 81 0
c1 1883 4847 779 367 0
c2 141 2169 2935 1923 0
c3 18 543 1772 3037 0
c4 0 169 640 3185 0


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