Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50277 1262 58 21 0
c1 1851 5080 2146 651 0
c2 8 1209 5295 3637 0
c3 0 136 1456 3688 0
c4 0 1 86 1114 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58264 1519 32 7 0
c1 1006 6334 2001 493 0
c2 0 1307 5360 4000 0
c3 0 208 1359 3889 0
c4 0 5 65 1183 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56461 1338 28 19 0
c1 1911 6660 2039 754 0
c2 5 1165 4874 4281 0
c3 1 225 1460 3977 0
c4 0 8 82 1425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56718 1252 35 41 0
c1 2639 6620 1765 673 0
c2 8 1482 4246 3964 0
c3 0 288 2050 3592 0
c4 0 7 105 1319 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56813 1256 33 40 0
c1 2540 6633 1823 671 0
c2 12 1483 4150 3893 0
c3 0 268 2089 3698 0
c4 0 9 106 1287 0

Date: 2015-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55079 1268 49 33 0
c1 2707 6076 1592 619 0
c2 42 1349 4289 3581 0
c3 0 328 2175 4034 0
c4 0 11 97 1620 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55077 1286 42 30 0
c1 2705 6166 1654 637 0
c2 46 1259 4218 3502 0
c3 0 309 2184 4150 0
c4 0 12 104 1568 0

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54470 1245 36 21 0
c1 1841 5300 1497 455 0
c2 3 1333 3884 3256 0
c3 0 276 1434 4290 0
c4 0 2 82 1518 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53742 1108 39 21 0
c1 2538 5237 1401 416 0
c2 34 1519 3936 3241 0
c3 0 288 1459 4395 0
c4 0 4 98 1467 0

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57116 1185 37 50 0
c1 2234 6158 1518 541 0
c2 7 2036 4268 2826 0
c3 0 235 1312 4123 0
c4 0 9 91 1185 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56576 1115 34 48 0
c1 2719 5779 1431 532 0
c2 62 2235 4163 2842 0
c3 0 467 1441 3990 0
c4 0 27 157 1313 0

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56361 1070 42 26 0
c1 2390 6458 1521 500 0
c2 16 2658 3720 2763 0
c3 0 306 1509 4207 0
c4 0 10 93 1300 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55649 993 38 23 0
c1 2937 5482 1235 443 0
c2 181 3593 3815 2711 0
c3 0 419 1685 4102 0
c4 0 15 112 1517 0


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