Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59594 1309 73 27 0
c1 3227 7777 3108 769 0
c2 57 1317 4351 3086 0
c3 0 108 1767 3342 0
c4 0 0 178 793 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59543 1450 41 26 0
c1 1856 7093 3159 1036 0
c2 23 1303 4396 3399 0
c3 0 79 1828 2991 0
c4 0 5 228 856 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59071 1279 35 24 0
c1 2021 7033 2767 527 0
c2 17 1582 4979 3446 0
c3 0 78 1700 2979 0
c4 0 0 268 988 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59336 1389 50 36 0
c1 2304 7546 2647 379 0
c2 13 1744 5049 3460 0
c3 0 131 1649 3568 1
c4 0 1 120 1175 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59291 1376 57 44 0
c1 2348 7650 2695 382 0
c2 14 1653 5007 3454 0
c3 0 132 1633 3596 1
c4 0 0 123 1142 0

Date: 2015-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58253 1457 44 8 0
c1 2237 6936 1921 657 0
c2 8 1394 5706 3819 0
c3 0 192 1458 3746 0
c4 0 3 72 1095 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58071 1430 42 10 0
c1 2418 7012 1994 689 0
c2 9 1342 5643 3792 0
c3 0 196 1444 3783 0
c4 0 2 78 1051 0

Date: 2015-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56062 1432 24 5 0
c1 1771 5864 2012 627 0
c2 5 1132 5168 4154 0
c3 0 186 1484 3858 0
c4 0 3 70 1372 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55289 1245 28 10 0
c1 2544 5903 1888 612 0
c2 1 1269 5220 4172 0
c3 4 193 1545 3922 0
c4 0 7 77 1300 0

Date: 2015-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55078 1355 35 37 0
c1 1816 6200 1821 733 0
c2 1 1368 4745 3990 0
c3 0 251 1853 3909 0
c4 0 4 82 1441 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54520 1240 45 40 0
c1 2370 6014 1606 684 0
c2 5 1585 4962 4079 0
c3 0 335 1840 3894 0
c4 0 4 83 1413 0

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57118 1204 45 29 0
c1 2351 6134 1428 412 0
c2 21 1512 4460 3579 0
c3 0 318 2212 3887 0
c4 0 10 115 1374 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56555 1187 62 33 0
c1 2673 5814 1301 457 0
c2 199 1536 4268 3592 0
c3 63 633 2501 3717 0
c4 0 8 128 1482 0


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