Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59999 1309 86 23 0
c1 3438 9143 3295 983 0
c2 71 1285 3995 2898 0
c3 0 181 2147 3074 0
c4 0 0 218 645 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63477 1537 44 24 0
c1 1609 8803 3194 743 0
c2 59 1138 3914 2283 0
c3 6 104 1951 3006 0
c4 0 0 170 704 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60379 1420 77 43 0
c1 2599 8580 3450 613 0
c2 56 941 3910 2738 0
c3 1 47 1700 3205 0
c4 0 0 131 704 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59534 1304 47 23 0
c1 3082 7898 2800 596 0
c2 49 1260 4133 2896 0
c3 0 86 1585 3338 0
c4 0 0 153 760 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59523 1277 48 23 0
c1 3084 7901 2769 595 0
c2 58 1275 4134 2933 0
c3 0 95 1631 3306 0
c4 0 0 136 756 0

Date: 2015-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60029 1288 63 48 0
c1 3076 7559 3035 660 0
c2 38 1542 4483 3298 0
c3 0 87 1779 3404 0
c4 0 6 208 848 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59964 1230 68 46 0
c1 3143 7608 3023 677 0
c2 36 1555 4454 3277 0
c3 0 84 1828 3423 0
c4 0 5 195 835 0

Date: 2015-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58155 1402 38 14 0
c1 2176 7299 3063 906 0
c2 11 1384 4684 3466 0
c3 0 56 1768 2926 0
c4 0 0 267 934 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57183 1236 55 24 0
c1 3140 7363 2872 790 0
c2 19 1482 4828 3571 0
c3 0 59 1809 2953 0
c4 0 1 256 908 0

Date: 2015-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57252 1441 37 37 0
c1 2388 7473 2983 447 0
c2 12 1706 4925 3498 0
c3 0 125 1671 3195 0
c4 0 0 230 1071 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56566 1273 36 38 0
c1 3062 7464 2734 408 0
c2 24 1887 5140 3549 0
c3 0 117 1710 3225 0
c4 0 4 226 1028 0

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50277 1262 58 21 0
c1 1851 5080 2146 651 0
c2 8 1209 5295 3637 0
c3 0 136 1456 3688 0
c4 0 1 86 1114 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49861 1238 57 18 0
c1 2259 4991 1867 665 0
c2 16 1258 5364 3483 0
c3 0 198 1639 3883 0
c4 0 3 114 1062 0


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