Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78982 2255 5 0 0
c1 3722 13021 1098 414 0
c2 18 1253 877 1211 0
c3 0 335 616 1547 0
c4 0 179 501 660 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77415 2070 5 0 0
c1 2640 13525 1358 461 0
c2 0 1347 1010 1346 0
c3 0 356 652 1074 0
c4 0 219 561 627 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78255 1927 11 3 0
c1 3447 12825 1788 566 0
c2 1 1562 1189 814 0
c3 0 203 635 787 0
c4 0 182 401 448 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77484 1851 29 4 0
c1 3484 13444 2365 425 0
c2 1 1612 1623 684 0
c3 0 153 618 648 0
c4 0 87 322 396 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77690 1914 29 4 0
c1 3278 13447 2316 375 0
c2 1 1575 1705 746 0
c3 0 130 587 647 0
c4 0 81 320 385 0

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77635 1677 43 3 0
c1 3657 13105 2078 306 0
c2 2 1856 2027 863 0
c3 0 163 583 569 0
c4 0 71 278 321 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77793 1616 41 1 0
c1 3500 13166 2027 261 0
c2 1 1877 2107 925 0
c3 0 145 567 551 0
c4 0 68 267 324 0

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73371 1684 33 0 0
c1 2513 12583 2611 253 0
c2 0 2355 2576 963 0
c3 0 214 603 428 0
c4 0 77 277 452 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72846 1678 34 0 0
c1 3038 12442 2613 215 0
c2 0 2544 2563 1002 0
c3 0 173 611 429 0
c4 0 76 279 450 0

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73848 1637 1 0 0
c1 2677 12797 1814 206 0
c2 0 2334 3830 1533 0
c3 0 149 688 453 0
c4 0 69 296 460 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73703 1646 1 0 0
c1 2822 12564 1831 204 0
c2 0 2563 3809 1528 0
c3 0 144 685 460 0
c4 0 69 303 460 0

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73018 1838 4 0 0
c1 2687 12692 2040 118 0
c2 1 3226 4389 1355 0
c3 0 116 944 437 0
c4 0 91 283 502 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73041 2040 4 0 0
c1 2653 12122 2094 203 0
c2 12 3589 4372 1255 0
c3 0 123 881 474 0
c4 0 89 309 480 0


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