Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-10-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79358 2327 7 0 0
c1 3939 12083 1099 400 0
c2 38 1144 847 1135 0
c3 0 294 653 1411 0
c4 0 157 458 699 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79325 2286 7 0 0
c1 3968 12185 1106 350 0
c2 42 1116 877 1164 0
c3 0 274 639 1425 0
c4 0 144 435 706 0

Date: 2015-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78497 2225 2 0 0
c1 3615 13666 1107 417 0
c2 1 1326 952 1271 0
c3 0 312 714 1541 0
c4 0 205 443 649 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78219 2187 3 0 0
c1 3888 13735 1128 349 0
c2 6 1341 948 1342 0
c3 0 281 708 1545 0
c4 0 190 431 642 0

Date: 2015-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80806 2015 10 0 0
c1 3233 12950 1500 537 0
c2 0 1472 1061 1062 0
c3 0 325 663 870 0
c4 0 214 491 494 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79608 1949 13 0 0
c1 4431 12841 1497 455 0
c2 0 1714 1059 1130 0
c3 0 282 678 913 0
c4 0 190 478 465 0

Date: 2015-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78608 1841 18 3 0
c1 3447 13217 2146 403 0
c2 1 1522 1386 694 0
c3 0 159 598 622 0
c4 0 169 345 374 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78475 1874 34 6 0
c1 3563 12882 1899 341 0
c2 18 1865 1626 762 0
c3 0 137 620 633 0
c4 0 150 314 354 0

Date: 2015-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73753 1836 44 6 0
c1 3610 13231 2365 443 0
c2 4 1644 1815 822 0
c3 0 148 639 603 0
c4 0 93 306 380 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74021 2136 48 7 0
c1 3283 12627 2176 377 0
c2 63 1956 2026 882 0
c3 0 153 651 602 0
c4 0 80 268 386 0


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