Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66010 16762 592 879 279 30 0 0
OW 55 580 169 527 171 21 0 0
VODI 0 414 161 511 395 66 0 0
ODI 0 93 67 325 414 155 1 0
CDI 0 67 39 317 419 438 92 0
VCDI 0 59 51 416 1359 3591 7873 5702
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65149 16944 705 1046 285 18 0 0
OW 52 497 172 622 284 10 0 0
VODI 0 202 127 552 514 49 2 0
ODI 0 48 39 392 581 127 1 0
CDI 0 38 23 269 487 547 38 0
VCDI 0 18 28 277 1218 4497 9073 4169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64338 17705 828 1257 227 17 1 0
OW 52 166 154 660 227 9 3 0
VODI 0 56 43 583 651 45 1 0
ODI 0 49 40 188 776 213 5 0
CDI 0 19 4 141 837 903 59 0
VCDI 0 8 12 83 877 5312 7205 5346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65455 16376 734 1323 338 47 15 0
OW 53 276 92 526 288 40 2 0
VODI 0 124 75 410 590 123 3 0
ODI 0 62 26 184 577 318 10 0
CDI 0 20 30 170 738 678 145 0
VCDI 0 2 20 171 1023 4497 7211 6328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65455 16459 745 1348 354 40 15 0
OW 53 199 80 510 287 49 1 0
VODI 0 117 74 411 551 112 4 0
ODI 0 59 25 166 580 314 10 0
CDI 0 24 34 165 711 643 130 0
VCDI 0 2 19 184 1071 4545 7226 6328

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65878 16216 579 1072 326 78 0 0
OW 53 464 155 419 224 68 0 0
VODI 0 217 111 586 364 134 6 0
ODI 0 110 51 337 538 273 15 0
CDI 0 54 48 247 603 450 101 0
VCDI 0 6 23 273 1163 3825 7872 6161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65878 16315 582 1140 352 76 0 0
OW 53 397 161 395 213 66 0 0
VODI 0 188 97 532 340 128 5 0
ODI 0 97 52 335 504 243 13 0
CDI 0 64 42 246 576 446 84 0
VCDI 0 6 33 286 1233 3869 7892 6161

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65089 16881 625 1022 397 111 0 0
OW 62 314 212 584 227 36 0 0
VODI 0 97 71 668 612 103 0 0
ODI 0 12 12 228 861 230 1 0
CDI 0 7 4 112 761 1248 121 0
VCDI 0 2 2 67 539 3460 7066 7256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65099 16660 570 1220 540 137 0 0
OW 52 356 144 349 307 76 0 0
VODI 0 146 119 391 560 173 2 0
ODI 0 67 42 275 496 337 23 0
CDI 0 60 28 205 515 553 146 0
VCDI 0 24 23 241 979 3912 7017 7256

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65333 16398 579 1153 435 92 0 0
OW 52 441 158 535 254 53 0 0
VODI 0 210 96 559 560 123 0 0
ODI 0 86 38 283 546 282 7 0
CDI 0 27 43 168 627 651 164 0
VCDI 0 4 2 150 755 4035 6922 7279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65332 16169 526 1200 585 115 0 0
OW 53 423 146 375 248 105 0 0
VODI 0 259 98 517 439 183 6 0
ODI 0 128 50 283 499 368 46 0
CDI 0 103 42 180 552 497 230 0
VCDI 0 84 54 293 854 3968 6811 7279

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64545 17244 794 1253 347 104 0 0
OW 52 579 185 579 222 34 0 0
VODI 0 157 129 563 534 99 1 0
ODI 0 60 50 265 642 204 12 0
CDI 0 10 34 237 586 472 170 0
VCDI 0 3 11 199 1171 4354 7227 5972
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64545 16905 762 1262 479 115 0 0
OW 52 522 121 393 181 84 1 0
VODI 0 419 162 542 427 142 12 0
ODI 0 108 67 286 654 180 41 0
CDI 0 78 63 241 535 422 332 0
VCDI 0 21 28 372 1226 4324 7024 5972


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