Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66010 17043 608 900 279 30 0 0
OW 55 650 177 539 172 21 0 0
VODI 0 512 163 522 395 66 0 0
ODI 0 255 69 326 414 155 1 0
CDI 0 133 61 373 437 489 110 0
VCDI 0 72 83 560 1751 5511 20970 67136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65149 17219 714 1051 285 18 0 0
OW 52 599 182 633 284 10 0 0
VODI 0 353 132 558 514 49 2 0
ODI 0 208 44 392 581 132 1 0
CDI 0 164 57 312 505 627 43 17
VCDI 0 95 78 504 1639 6283 21161 66401
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64338 18048 843 1271 227 17 1 0
OW 52 236 162 678 228 9 3 0
VODI 0 165 82 667 652 45 1 0
ODI 0 77 61 242 807 224 5 0
CDI 0 22 15 192 897 1018 152 30
VCDI 0 8 18 187 1541 7424 21698 64705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65455 16659 745 1330 338 47 15 0
OW 53 322 103 541 290 40 2 0
VODI 0 161 79 431 591 123 3 0
ODI 0 98 39 197 584 321 23 0
CDI 0 37 57 266 816 759 214 58
VCDI 0 2 20 312 1493 6527 23222 64675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65455 16738 757 1357 354 40 15 0
OW 53 239 90 526 290 49 1 0
VODI 0 159 78 429 551 112 4 0
ODI 0 100 35 179 586 317 19 0
CDI 0 41 64 260 786 733 206 66
VCDI 0 2 19 326 1545 6566 23234 64667

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65878 16443 616 1089 326 78 0 0
OW 53 512 163 440 227 68 0 0
VODI 0 257 119 602 383 134 6 0
ODI 0 140 58 343 542 274 21 0
CDI 0 89 75 288 630 506 175 2
VCDI 0 8 41 435 1566 5724 22804 65933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65878 16547 621 1159 352 76 0 0
OW 53 438 170 418 217 66 0 0
VODI 0 230 102 544 359 128 5 0
ODI 0 129 60 342 507 244 18 0
CDI 0 97 68 286 598 500 159 3
VCDI 0 8 51 448 1641 5770 22824 65932

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65089 17272 643 1027 397 111 0 0
OW 62 421 216 599 227 36 0 0
VODI 0 194 88 678 624 103 0 0
ODI 0 34 24 285 887 247 3 3
CDI 0 30 11 176 858 1458 167 3
VCDI 0 66 28 161 933 6721 23450 63716
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65099 16992 578 1223 540 137 0 0
OW 52 417 154 358 307 76 0 0
VODI 0 204 126 406 570 176 2 0
ODI 0 118 46 297 522 360 23 0
CDI 0 125 38 237 569 786 184 5
VCDI 0 161 68 405 1418 7141 23411 63717

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65333 16745 588 1154 435 92 0 0
OW 52 494 162 547 254 53 0 0
VODI 0 298 102 571 573 123 0 0
ODI 0 151 65 340 578 300 19 0
CDI 0 47 57 243 734 848 341 43
VCDI 0 56 27 267 1080 6803 26300 61173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65332 16458 530 1201 585 115 0 0
OW 53 480 155 378 248 105 0 0
VODI 0 318 104 538 460 188 6 0
ODI 0 174 57 308 525 401 55 1
CDI 0 155 57 218 606 728 433 35
VCDI 0 206 98 479 1230 6682 26166 61180

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64545 17603 798 1255 347 104 0 0
OW 52 662 187 582 222 34 0 0
VODI 0 286 139 570 548 100 1 0
ODI 0 148 69 294 665 224 13 0
CDI 0 52 65 291 663 716 280 26
VCDI 0 89 55 380 1627 8248 24194 60914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64545 17221 765 1262 479 115 0 0
OW 52 594 121 396 181 84 1 0
VODI 0 504 175 550 432 142 12 0
ODI 0 177 71 298 673 189 45 1
CDI 0 172 73 264 593 550 445 46
VCDI 0 172 108 602 1714 8346 23985 60893


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