Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68129 15392 686 1161 234 85 0 0
OW 61 494 67 494 169 39 0 0
VODI 0 329 76 379 452 69 0 0
ODI 0 196 78 157 523 123 1 0
CDI 0 142 79 181 565 388 55 68
VCDI 0 89 97 427 1178 6188 22457 65740
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67820 15613 644 972 246 104 5 0
OW 61 566 95 494 251 68 4 0
VODI 0 398 61 393 416 66 14 0
ODI 0 231 70 157 469 121 28 0
CDI 0 194 74 138 525 311 102 28
VCDI 0 207 140 579 1312 5529 23175 65367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67805 16530 620 760 212 73 0 0
OW 61 573 159 431 137 15 0 0
VODI 0 280 78 468 373 37 1 0
ODI 0 168 34 232 520 132 3 0
CDI 0 184 47 169 670 759 102 33
VCDI 0 130 104 552 1565 6340 23454 63237
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68920 14899 574 696 269 88 0 0
OW 82 572 168 516 140 17 0 0
VODI 0 343 91 527 398 52 0 0
ODI 0 201 31 263 617 190 9 0
CDI 0 172 37 195 672 658 181 1
VCDI 0 336 176 758 1683 7784 20497 64235
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68933 14969 576 695 261 95 0 0
OW 69 532 160 493 140 15 0 0
VODI 0 351 97 550 419 49 0 0
ODI 0 193 33 270 603 195 12 0
CDI 0 156 37 183 675 644 203 0
VCDI 0 322 174 764 1681 7791 20472 64236

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66586 16273 728 1035 300 108 0 0
OW 78 553 161 502 235 15 0 0
VODI 0 453 67 462 459 89 0 0
ODI 0 253 36 252 586 261 2 0
CDI 0 182 59 219 561 859 145 26
VCDI 0 426 166 990 1873 8277 19564 64207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66596 16395 723 1037 309 110 0 0
OW 68 486 151 475 218 16 0 0
VODI 0 467 80 462 449 84 0 0
ODI 0 233 40 245 571 238 4 0
CDI 0 177 48 220 574 862 154 20
VCDI 0 382 175 1021 1893 8299 19553 64213

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67665 16266 588 731 216 90 3 0
OW 114 586 185 577 110 14 3 0
VODI 0 317 92 712 465 25 0 0
ODI 0 126 51 327 752 159 0 0
CDI 0 131 96 405 860 1338 87 9
VCDI 0 21 45 427 1204 7515 19765 64971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67699 15364 560 825 260 102 3 0
OW 80 575 90 468 155 24 3 0
VODI 0 549 80 350 369 65 0 0
ODI 0 396 68 264 447 132 3 0
CDI 0 193 66 257 722 791 133 8
VCDI 0 370 193 1015 1654 8027 19716 64972

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66918 16557 605 933 247 87 9 0
OW 63 429 118 509 171 22 1 0
VODI 0 337 72 343 478 51 0 0
ODI 0 287 83 209 590 180 7 0
CDI 0 169 65 340 862 1136 195 32
VCDI 0 126 73 581 1547 7088 21871 63657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66875 15756 540 866 283 106 9 0
OW 93 522 121 377 201 35 1 0
VODI 13 455 72 380 356 82 10 0
ODI 0 338 45 202 416 149 28 2
CDI 0 325 59 153 653 774 164 65
VCDI 0 509 179 937 1986 7418 21871 63622

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65401 17416 724 997 379 72 0 0
OW 61 365 149 562 191 28 0 0
VODI 0 277 44 439 441 61 0 0
ODI 0 202 24 178 582 181 4 2
CDI 0 270 50 234 839 938 97 24
VCDI 0 213 98 471 1425 7263 21809 64537
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65400 16717 593 914 448 83 0 0
OW 62 490 160 435 204 49 0 0
VODI 0 397 103 419 354 102 9 24
ODI 0 260 55 237 390 247 19 39
CDI 0 265 40 163 752 737 123 73
VCDI 0 614 138 713 1709 7325 21759 64427


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