Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69751 14937 526 879 248 120 2 0
OW 61 477 140 318 124 26 7 0
VODI 0 246 133 393 210 64 7 0
ODI 0 99 54 216 251 105 6 0
CDI 0 85 36 167 345 292 16 0
VCDI 0 82 66 319 817 3533 8850 5092
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69858 14406 630 838 256 142 18 0
OW 61 361 161 481 135 55 14 0
VODI 0 189 59 459 204 98 15 0
ODI 0 99 30 195 322 140 21 0
CDI 0 65 38 102 432 433 39 0
VCDI 0 94 48 252 729 3044 8392 6185
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68814 14925 682 979 292 105 0 0
OW 61 368 105 544 188 33 0 0
VODI 0 223 61 402 487 80 0 0
ODI 0 85 49 110 494 180 2 0
CDI 0 64 47 96 497 554 37 0
VCDI 0 27 43 250 631 3121 7152 7312
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67201 16258 855 973 243 101 0 0
OW 61 401 87 468 160 39 0 0
VODI 0 240 90 457 362 73 0 0
ODI 0 102 60 225 482 183 4 0
CDI 0 77 42 210 450 362 20 6
VCDI 0 45 40 237 923 3726 8391 5446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67201 16265 854 982 253 109 0 0
OW 61 371 87 480 151 34 0 0
VODI 0 251 89 431 392 79 1 0
ODI 0 98 60 228 454 175 4 0
CDI 0 80 39 205 452 377 17 6
VCDI 0 58 45 244 918 3710 8393 5446

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68076 15372 619 1017 238 114 0 0
OW 61 522 80 426 264 44 1 0
VODI 0 348 57 287 493 72 8 0
ODI 0 205 47 149 526 79 20 0
CDI 0 143 99 124 593 258 23 0
VCDI 0 43 80 428 1012 3860 7767 5545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68076 15364 634 1097 250 117 1 0
OW 61 477 58 380 290 37 0 0
VODI 0 361 61 270 481 75 9 0
ODI 0 218 45 128 533 81 18 0
CDI 0 151 93 121 577 301 22 0
VCDI 0 62 91 435 995 3816 7769 5545

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67268 17055 589 696 187 63 0 0
OW 62 473 162 486 111 6 0 0
VODI 0 203 112 540 316 21 0 0
ODI 0 65 47 243 617 94 1 0
CDI 0 62 53 183 620 615 22 0
VCDI 0 12 21 237 1031 3783 7714 5330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67269 16427 577 707 239 79 0 0
OW 61 526 103 441 162 24 2 0
VODI 0 383 83 405 322 99 10 0
ODI 0 185 69 211 397 164 8 0
CDI 0 148 29 161 435 340 11 0
VCDI 0 201 123 460 1327 3876 7706 5330

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68810 15124 525 633 252 111 0 0
OW 62 501 193 435 125 15 0 0
VODI 0 230 66 513 328 30 4 0
ODI 0 109 34 239 607 79 7 0
CDI 0 95 34 136 737 257 66 0
VCDI 0 149 81 465 1044 3593 8171 5240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68804 14579 501 715 274 131 0 0
OW 68 455 159 383 137 23 5 0
VODI 0 328 97 336 406 68 11 0
ODI 0 194 37 276 463 153 31 0
CDI 0 170 15 168 653 207 112 0
VCDI 0 482 124 543 1160 3503 8089 5240

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67245 15522 694 1058 342 99 0 0
OW 60 424 100 542 200 12 0 0
VODI 0 222 45 393 476 59 0 0
ODI 0 122 17 135 620 179 4 0
CDI 0 112 31 145 515 592 88 0
VCDI 0 112 78 492 862 3866 8490 5147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67244 15226 705 1265 469 104 0 0
OW 61 322 70 435 277 36 0 0
VODI 0 269 36 249 500 119 0 0
ODI 0 162 22 135 401 300 29 0
CDI 0 143 21 94 423 454 93 0
VCDI 0 392 111 587 945 3794 8460 5147


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