Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 8 46 29 0 0 0
OW 0 30 4 10 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 1 2 0 10 0 0
CDI 0 22 0 1 1 47 87 31
VCDI 0 45 26 70 131 693 4655 26043
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 9 26 40 0 0 0
OW 0 31 5 4 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 5 3 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 3 3 18 0 0
CDI 0 23 5 4 21 76 80 38
VCDI 0 36 22 71 133 764 6698 23883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 2 49 25 22 0 0
OW 0 11 7 6 4 13 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 10 3 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 9 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 7 15 13 25 15 55
VCDI 0 1 4 36 70 385 4012 27214
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 12 62 2 0 0 0
OW 0 11 12 31 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 17 7 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 14 0 0 4 4 0
CDI 0 25 7 7 2 56 31 15
VCDI 0 2 20 83 103 417 4360 26695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 10 74 4 0 0 0
OW 0 9 13 20 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 17 6 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 10 0 0 7 5 0
CDI 0 23 9 6 2 52 33 10
VCDI 0 4 23 84 103 418 4357 26700

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 4 50 1 0 0 0
OW 0 15 8 46 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 9 16 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 13 11 8 0 2 0
CDI 0 19 18 4 14 35 46 76
VCDI 0 26 44 115 107 618 8415 22299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 4 58 3 0 0 0
OW 0 11 7 36 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 10 18 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 9 7 0 2 0
CDI 0 17 18 5 13 41 43 75
VCDI 0 31 46 116 107 612 8418 22300

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 6 5 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 3 19 25 23 0 0
CDI 0 40 12 37 46 77 26 6
VCDI 0 44 23 97 209 940 8154 21899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 0 0 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 2 8 17 22 0 0
CDI 0 38 2 22 34 75 17 1
VCDI 0 138 40 128 227 943 8163 21904

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31 221 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 13 102 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 5 30 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 83 5 42 59 35 0 1
CDI 0 76 4 58 84 136 28 33
VCDI 0 135 48 266 444 2454 6799 20768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 82 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 23 62 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 7 69 0 14 10 13 0 0
ODI 0 46 2 37 25 43 2 2
CDI 0 88 4 39 73 117 68 85
VCDI 0 378 58 307 490 2452 6757 20715

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129 128 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 29 92 1 2 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 20 60 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 109 9 71 47 36 0 0
CDI 0 91 1 79 106 138 16 0
VCDI 0 220 84 373 882 2709 6497 19930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 51 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 25 41 1 1 9 0 0 0
ODI 14 49 2 30 20 33 1 1
CDI 2 131 7 48 51 111 49 83
VCDI 0 576 105 506 984 2739 6463 19846


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