Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70561 15284 729 628 202 105 53 0
OW 128 468 148 373 147 15 14 0
VODI 1 218 121 362 313 42 23 0
ODI 0 85 46 293 274 85 15 0
CDI 0 40 43 219 399 228 33 0
VCDI 0 2 8 160 719 3259 8111 5146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67712 17399 654 870 321 104 27 0
OW 60 393 137 353 227 31 5 0
VODI 0 172 77 366 376 78 7 0
ODI 0 60 46 195 373 115 11 0
CDI 0 16 28 196 493 307 63 0
VCDI 0 3 6 113 562 3177 7918 6049
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70282 15365 635 939 251 76 18 0
OW 75 176 136 407 217 23 1 0
VODI 0 25 65 435 299 95 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 219 344 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 115 525 317 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 602 3343 8306 5571
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70523 15054 537 833 281 27 0 0
OW 60 237 163 368 222 12 0 0
VODI 0 65 78 388 314 69 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 226 363 115 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 477 407 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 665 3316 8964 5124
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70507 15098 544 834 278 29 0 0
OW 76 207 164 365 206 16 0 0
VODI 0 50 71 393 318 79 0 0
ODI 0 1 16 223 360 102 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 488 430 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 672 3290 8957 5124

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68823 16026 628 972 334 80 25 0
OW 60 366 125 396 218 19 2 0
VODI 0 90 112 392 287 66 1 0
ODI 0 3 34 281 308 111 1 0
CDI 0 0 4 207 445 301 2 0
VCDI 0 0 1 100 896 4421 9351 3612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68823 16032 635 958 334 75 25 0
OW 60 375 123 405 225 24 2 0
VODI 0 74 110 401 287 59 1 0
ODI 0 4 30 300 314 114 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 195 428 297 5 0
VCDI 0 0 1 89 900 4429 9348 3612

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69610 15486 678 879 248 93 2 0
OW 60 218 250 507 130 16 0 0
VODI 0 45 77 572 278 29 0 0
ODI 0 2 24 254 368 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 143 459 597 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 107 831 3458 8467 5122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69610 14772 624 886 336 106 2 0
OW 60 687 137 360 126 35 0 0
VODI 0 238 168 340 221 75 0 0
ODI 0 47 64 325 193 128 0 0
CDI 0 7 37 285 357 363 3 0
VCDI 0 0 6 266 1081 3566 8467 5122

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70156 14622 543 813 220 92 0 0
OW 61 431 187 412 143 16 0 0
VODI 0 169 96 445 334 45 0 0
ODI 0 80 35 237 321 94 0 0
CDI 0 50 34 164 377 292 1 0
VCDI 0 32 53 319 1035 4023 7948 5220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70111 14198 507 804 288 109 0 0
OW 106 672 186 365 140 45 0 0
VODI 0 262 107 450 303 71 1 0
ODI 0 119 30 234 273 100 11 0
CDI 0 70 49 141 356 276 29 0
VCDI 0 63 69 396 1070 3961 7908 5220

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69751 14937 526 879 248 120 2 0
OW 61 477 140 318 124 26 7 0
VODI 0 246 133 393 210 64 7 0
ODI 0 99 54 216 251 105 6 0
CDI 0 85 36 167 345 292 16 0
VCDI 0 82 66 319 817 3533 8850 5092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69737 14011 474 835 293 141 14 0
OW 75 670 160 248 111 45 7 0
VODI 0 740 112 419 145 77 9 0
ODI 0 263 56 266 251 95 10 0
CDI 0 103 66 151 337 257 21 0
VCDI 0 139 87 373 858 3525 8827 5092


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