Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78350 10813 467 684 268 222 115 0
OW 56 277 95 459 170 30 17 0
VODI 0 109 79 405 342 107 26 0
ODI 0 31 45 181 344 121 10 0
CDI 0 13 14 157 487 231 47 0
VCDI 0 18 11 122 529 3313 5781 4554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78383 10591 417 584 259 253 178 0
OW 61 408 99 388 106 37 21 0
VODI 0 180 84 408 304 96 19 0
ODI 0 64 51 160 353 94 15 0
CDI 0 37 34 146 309 307 28 0
VCDI 0 22 33 200 648 3361 6231 4131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76489 12079 496 733 218 250 166 0
OW 61 221 110 474 88 45 7 0
VODI 0 98 72 443 319 61 7 0
ODI 0 25 33 196 444 61 7 0
CDI 0 7 22 185 468 444 39 0
VCDI 0 2 5 95 594 3287 5991 4758
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76224 11517 567 706 220 208 219 0
OW 62 189 101 441 155 49 20 0
VODI 0 90 66 335 408 71 16 0
ODI 0 28 40 158 433 57 9 0
CDI 0 10 41 123 400 312 46 0
VCDI 0 0 6 229 760 4331 6040 4413
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76224 11526 568 730 231 220 224 0
OW 62 179 100 425 162 42 17 0
VODI 0 89 63 325 436 70 15 0
ODI 0 29 37 156 443 77 10 0
CDI 0 11 42 125 376 301 45 0
VCDI 0 0 11 231 728 4318 6039 4413

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75315 12051 526 723 257 195 139 0
OW 66 233 96 364 170 37 15 0
VODI 0 137 42 334 323 86 13 0
ODI 0 73 31 154 334 90 9 0
CDI 0 44 32 92 379 262 24 0
VCDI 0 35 44 250 749 4192 6452 4732
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75308 12084 550 744 275 202 136 0
OW 73 207 71 373 158 39 18 0
VODI 0 129 41 313 353 82 13 0
ODI 0 67 32 150 359 97 9 0
CDI 0 48 29 87 370 278 25 0
VCDI 0 38 48 250 697 4164 6451 4732

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76156 11542 456 547 209 207 92 0
OW 64 179 119 405 100 17 7 0
VODI 0 99 48 380 286 38 16 0
ODI 0 44 30 154 412 87 29 0
CDI 0 28 43 148 412 513 33 0
VCDI 0 0 5 99 450 3730 6559 5357
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76149 11176 439 592 277 243 113 0
OW 71 305 85 315 109 36 24 0
VODI 0 193 58 322 239 111 31 0
ODI 0 81 28 163 322 129 12 0
CDI 0 74 19 106 292 246 15 0
VCDI 0 63 72 235 630 3827 6541 5357

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76123 11637 364 444 170 136 137 0
OW 68 366 181 269 59 8 23 0
VODI 0 190 124 392 136 15 15 0
ODI 0 49 40 307 234 22 20 0
CDI 0 11 39 217 378 136 33 0
VCDI 0 1 9 215 1059 4323 6330 4820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76102 11195 298 434 229 152 191 0
OW 89 518 124 175 62 25 17 0
VODI 0 376 153 286 103 84 18 0
ODI 0 113 95 330 202 42 11 0
CDI 0 44 54 281 281 76 12 0
VCDI 0 8 33 338 1159 4261 6309 4820

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75669 11801 341 449 151 114 183 0
OW 75 481 126 257 76 7 33 0
VODI 0 278 94 335 153 29 23 0
ODI 0 99 52 239 232 44 22 0
CDI 0 69 21 178 415 110 79 0
VCDI 0 20 51 259 989 3973 7457 4116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75639 11317 274 412 198 127 243 0
OW 104 557 113 179 58 37 35 0
VODI 1 466 116 283 103 63 57 0
ODI 0 198 67 266 190 45 37 0
CDI 0 157 45 238 336 92 62 2
VCDI 0 53 70 339 1131 3913 7363 4114


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