Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 472 35 116 79 0 0 0
OW 0 242 25 60 125 4 0 0
VODI 0 155 72 189 83 58 0 0
ODI 0 48 32 141 88 72 0 0
CDI 0 14 12 115 145 155 5 5
VCDI 0 12 16 90 374 1771 5734 21532
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 383 3 19 32 45 0 0
OW 0 124 31 125 84 45 0 0
VODI 0 145 137 131 111 88 0 0
ODI 0 21 36 231 125 108 10 0
CDI 0 12 4 164 188 109 69 21
VCDI 0 5 14 94 372 1983 5745 21266
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 438 43 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 36 149 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 59 412 118 14 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 132 249 95 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 27 331 389 66 1
VCDI 0 0 1 64 445 1977 6443 20374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 360 26 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 19 99 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 34 268 183 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 16 222 320 52 2 0
CDI 0 0 3 33 301 436 63 15
VCDI 0 0 0 77 207 1615 6608 20928
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 358 26 49 2 0 0 0
OW 0 27 20 95 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 27 267 207 3 0 0
ODI 0 16 20 199 268 69 3 0
CDI 0 0 5 47 282 362 50 19
VCDI 0 0 0 77 255 1669 6620 20924

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 300 33 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 8 55 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 9 192 126 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 34 230 340 92 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 52 267 379 121 98
VCDI 0 0 0 33 187 1471 6608 21318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 303 35 35 3 0 0 0
OW 0 10 10 68 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 7 155 161 14 0 0
ODI 0 29 31 226 222 119 4 0
CDI 0 0 2 83 309 267 127 95
VCDI 0 0 0 26 220 1542 6600 21321

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 27 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 6 53 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 136 48 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 507 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 345 581 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 717 5742 23427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 27 46 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 6 26 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 79 148 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 288 91 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 292 292 102 1
VCDI 0 0 0 23 189 937 5674 23426

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 301 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 7 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 15 73 24 2 0 0
ODI 0 15 20 78 322 26 1 0
CDI 0 32 13 59 538 154 34 0
VCDI 0 11 13 80 272 813 5158 23916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 291 5 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 2 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 7 45 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 9 89 286 18 0 0
CDI 0 8 14 37 319 99 24 0
VCDI 0 54 36 125 520 878 5169 23916

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 287 6 4 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 2 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 3 28 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 18 40 215 44 0 0
CDI 0 26 8 39 278 278 35 14
VCDI 0 28 35 124 245 1034 4906 24229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 251 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 1 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 2 23 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 1 30 69 5 1 0
CDI 0 31 2 17 285 85 24 58
VCDI 0 96 61 166 402 1266 4916 24185


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