Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81858 9472 295 446 309 390 9 0
OW 62 408 231 244 49 17 4 0
VODI 0 82 86 558 133 41 3 0
ODI 0 15 23 250 411 101 0 0
CDI 0 1 9 116 333 600 27 0
VCDI 0 4 2 66 297 1461 6873 3814
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80993 9586 428 633 343 347 0 0
OW 84 255 150 541 127 20 3 0
VODI 0 82 45 483 318 37 6 0
ODI 0 31 14 143 416 194 3 0
CDI 0 15 21 99 288 447 104 0
VCDI 0 3 2 75 265 1671 6578 4250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79108 11230 540 879 362 221 9 0
OW 250 127 120 325 179 12 4 0
VODI 11 34 37 346 393 49 4 0
ODI 0 8 7 150 447 126 8 0
CDI 0 0 5 69 446 704 52 0
VCDI 0 0 1 22 189 1444 7530 3652
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78368 11518 515 838 316 273 25 0
OW 143 397 124 377 214 21 6 0
VODI 2 70 36 368 309 116 6 0
ODI 0 12 19 188 285 221 6 0
CDI 0 4 11 101 320 633 80 0
VCDI 0 6 4 48 268 1511 7360 3981
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78330 11516 539 870 355 273 26 0
OW 150 299 103 368 172 19 6 0
VODI 33 170 34 356 321 96 5 0
ODI 0 13 19 184 273 223 4 0
CDI 0 6 10 96 335 677 68 0
VCDI 0 3 4 46 256 1487 7374 3981

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79128 10178 506 794 386 333 86 0
OW 77 407 122 383 212 75 12 0
VODI 0 184 95 393 251 164 7 0
ODI 0 22 21 211 223 258 4 0
CDI 0 20 5 113 348 659 20 10
VCDI 0 15 19 63 331 1371 6645 4949
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79115 10118 514 846 410 359 88 0
OW 80 334 113 376 199 62 10 0
VODI 10 322 96 372 224 160 7 0
ODI 0 21 23 182 256 239 4 0
CDI 0 20 3 105 346 687 29 14
VCDI 0 11 19 76 316 1353 6636 4945

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77727 12049 574 664 217 223 212 0
OW 51 137 217 523 128 12 9 0
VODI 0 20 35 524 265 43 13 0
ODI 0 8 4 194 458 124 19 0
CDI 0 7 6 68 432 720 38 0
VCDI 0 8 11 52 246 1569 6734 4759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77719 11438 482 747 379 292 232 0
OW 59 374 127 341 129 61 18 0
VODI 0 340 155 450 201 105 21 0
ODI 0 25 43 193 237 150 7 0
CDI 0 18 17 171 355 363 43 0
VCDI 0 34 23 123 445 1720 6704 4759

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77274 11536 581 914 299 294 75 0
OW 52 104 152 560 182 45 1 0
VODI 0 26 47 410 476 91 1 0
ODI 0 9 10 223 406 115 5 0
CDI 0 9 6 106 486 344 3 0
VCDI 0 1 8 64 385 2586 6546 4668
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77274 11351 537 834 417 433 76 0
OW 52 217 129 359 134 118 4 0
VODI 0 80 90 596 440 127 5 0
ODI 0 14 24 243 335 159 0 0
CDI 0 1 12 150 380 296 1 0
VCDI 0 22 12 95 528 2342 6545 4668

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78350 10813 467 684 268 222 115 0
OW 56 277 95 459 170 30 17 0
VODI 0 109 79 405 342 107 26 0
ODI 0 31 45 181 344 121 10 0
CDI 0 13 14 157 487 231 47 0
VCDI 0 18 11 122 529 3313 5781 4554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78341 10622 402 669 356 313 140 0
OW 65 324 136 334 93 76 20 0
VODI 0 165 94 419 189 80 27 0
ODI 0 71 32 288 350 126 29 0
CDI 0 53 22 133 489 207 32 0
VCDI 0 26 25 165 663 3222 5748 4554


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