Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84400 14662 896 1519 512 427 9 0
OW 131 981 357 1115 204 34 4 0
VODI 0 213 144 1129 571 137 3 0
ODI 0 36 45 457 993 358 18 0
CDI 0 2 11 187 878 1457 119 16
VCDI 0 4 2 67 748 5875 22323 46004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82480 14350 928 1533 425 373 2 0
OW 119 1435 375 1707 296 43 3 0
VODI 4 263 102 1084 783 173 8 0
ODI 0 55 34 424 981 466 8 0
CDI 0 16 24 226 724 1246 334 30
VCDI 0 3 2 80 719 5324 21197 48669
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80923 16896 1143 2002 481 222 9 16
OW 276 266 203 1048 346 13 4 8
VODI 16 60 48 927 835 101 4 7
ODI 0 9 7 381 1049 304 27 2
CDI 0 0 5 95 1060 1593 215 10
VCDI 0 0 1 26 324 4229 25030 46827
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80717 16072 858 1756 493 310 25 13
OW 155 916 282 907 386 36 8 8
VODI 2 280 122 823 777 182 9 4
ODI 0 62 52 478 756 382 11 0
CDI 0 4 11 149 886 1361 170 0
VCDI 0 6 4 50 504 4377 24691 47953
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80682 15953 879 1893 549 312 26 14
OW 159 927 250 748 320 31 7 6
VODI 33 364 110 757 759 149 8 5
ODI 0 87 76 515 718 376 10 0
CDI 0 6 10 200 886 1305 169 1
VCDI 0 3 4 50 570 4475 24694 47952

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80406 14163 891 1374 773 446 117 7
OW 120 1060 220 1126 793 110 15 13
VODI 91 592 164 847 794 337 12 3
ODI 12 86 25 341 610 636 11 2
CDI 0 20 5 138 634 1569 84 12
VCDI 0 15 19 66 524 3638 18577 55550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80409 14286 870 1373 1021 476 120 8
OW 113 777 224 1018 550 106 11 11
VODI 79 679 175 915 659 308 11 4
ODI 28 163 33 350 663 557 12 2
CDI 0 20 3 160 691 1521 95 18
VCDI 0 11 19 76 544 3768 18567 55544

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78729 15892 1045 1281 392 231 212 0
OW 108 447 406 1300 240 12 9 0
VODI 3 97 113 1348 759 47 13 0
ODI 0 10 9 433 1782 331 19 7
CDI 0 7 8 132 935 2120 156 18
VCDI 0 8 11 93 508 3918 19249 54610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78753 14680 800 1472 601 311 232 2
OW 87 906 273 860 529 105 18 7
VODI 0 667 299 1002 1056 358 21 13
ODI 0 130 144 462 726 441 19 7
CDI 0 44 48 451 765 998 223 18
VCDI 0 34 28 340 939 4446 19145 54588

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77664 14564 851 1785 550 294 75 0
OW 52 549 302 1198 540 85 1 0
VODI 0 317 152 988 1044 151 1 0
ODI 0 78 55 575 958 324 16 0
CDI 0 27 19 304 1047 1471 86 10
VCDI 0 11 27 208 1054 6903 19134 53578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77664 14300 746 1428 775 470 76 0
OW 52 590 264 996 457 177 4 2
VODI 0 346 214 1221 1117 536 5 17
ODI 0 202 80 630 843 737 14 5
CDI 0 65 66 417 704 903 148 10
VCDI 0 43 36 366 1297 6405 19066 53554

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78501 13199 846 1362 667 222 115 0
OW 64 752 201 972 697 67 17 0
VODI 0 363 188 902 965 352 26 0
ODI 0 103 93 480 725 516 10 0
CDI 0 55 46 381 923 1182 59 5
VCDI 0 30 36 292 1361 8666 17107 54500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78498 12790 685 1203 772 331 140 0
OW 67 866 278 588 588 151 20 0
VODI 0 441 203 986 727 448 27 15
ODI 0 220 92 636 773 848 31 7
CDI 0 141 95 539 852 982 80 9
VCDI 0 44 57 437 1626 8245 17036 54474


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