Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95300 3971 217 246 32 0 0 0
OW 0 102 67 314 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 28 422 192 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 228 1017 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 1509 3179 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1630 354 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94536 4909 226 308 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 84 340 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 389 189 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 317 846 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 1747 2976 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 1755 31 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96095 3562 265 323 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 43 371 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 590 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 234 1280 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 963 3821 164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1110 29 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96198 3548 251 232 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 97 316 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 28 514 80 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 376 1218 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1043 2893 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 1944 134 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96198 3557 262 293 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 81 259 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 32 478 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 401 1172 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1024 2830 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 1973 134 0

Date: 2023-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95528 4154 213 260 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 88 347 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 26 430 108 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 357 1159 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 672 2803 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 2407 231 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95528 4154 240 349 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 48 291 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 39 365 109 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 399 1121 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 704 2573 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 2605 236 0

Date: 2023-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96053 3660 231 253 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 93 305 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 694 136 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 1435 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 325 3990 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1336 308 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96053 3543 208 287 5 0 0 0
OW 0 96 56 259 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 56 329 74 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 493 899 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 826 1410 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 3918 316 0

Date: 2023-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95205 4145 261 425 9 0 0 0
OW 0 50 67 279 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 350 225 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 1400 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 316 3250 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2575 200 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95205 4029 242 450 16 0 0 0
OW 0 97 37 219 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 50 230 173 1 0 0
ODI 0 7 17 234 772 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 928 1195 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 4697 200 0

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95114 3964 287 457 32 0 0 0
OW 0 62 85 234 95 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 383 200 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 171 1239 111 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 480 2634 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2812 721 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95114 3825 292 567 44 0 0 0
OW 0 111 39 155 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 32 179 192 11 0 0
ODI 0 8 21 249 497 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 1055 1088 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 143 4429 721 0


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