Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1974 6088 591 455 29 0 0 0
OW 0 153 244 1522 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 17 1497 2023 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 178 6153 523 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 2187 7676 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 461 136 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2334 6094 576 669 37 0 0 0
OW 3 187 184 1477 334 1 0 0
VODI 0 34 21 1007 3139 41 1 0
ODI 0 0 4 112 4817 1018 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 1078 8140 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 403 142 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2878 6278 557 484 10 0 0 0
OW 2 48 140 1037 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 5 1550 1042 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 7210 1200 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 507 8034 764 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 68 74 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2466 7005 455 377 11 0 0 0
OW 2 92 195 1143 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 1726 1537 21 1 0
ODI 0 1 0 85 6420 1858 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 330 5735 2457 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 19 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2466 6992 467 520 22 0 0 0
OW 2 103 179 1087 101 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 9 1624 1494 45 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 6391 1670 26 0
CDI 0 1 0 5 345 5892 2461 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 19 0

Date: 2023-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2727 6800 418 436 12 0 0 0
OW 1 191 279 1164 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 21 1782 2175 13 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 79 5359 2569 71 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 206 5741 1906 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2727 6809 447 637 38 0 0 0
OW 1 179 253 1073 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 18 1660 2143 26 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 91 5340 2361 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 208 5938 1904 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0

Date: 2023-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1047 8922 592 270 17 0 0 0
OW 0 81 279 866 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 2386 451 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 100 6217 278 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 510 7986 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 91 1624 90
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1046 8649 544 590 41 0 0 0
OW 1 341 295 1135 128 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 34 1783 2318 62 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 111 4542 3311 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 184 4981 1864 90
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0

Date: 2023-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4017 6517 346 312 4 0 0 0
OW 0 149 293 1122 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 12 1737 1268 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 5293 856 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 494 6952 879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 156 1241 253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4016 6179 368 586 23 0 0 0
OW 1 464 237 1196 295 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 46 1376 2876 82 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 3766 3840 108 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 138 4048 2006 253
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4635 6319 256 226 0 0 0 0
OW 0 282 346 1218 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 39 1911 1188 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 4798 1076 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 888 6972 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1001 506 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4634 6008 293 654 6 0 0 0
OW 1 532 240 1340 280 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 96 1328 2973 88 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 195 3153 4343 93 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 485 4617 623 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0


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