Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84438 9226 598 1048 82 17 0 0
OW 6 38 63 563 286 10 0 0
VODI 0 5 9 590 1297 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 115 1154 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 127 908 1790 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 588 5133 893 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84139 9696 598 1124 137 0 0 0
OW 4 38 35 754 304 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 11 664 1194 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 138 905 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 173 820 2024 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 473 4921 884 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83570 10552 559 922 126 0 0 0
OW 1 11 53 561 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 6 1428 720 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 202 1174 106 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 648 4209 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 3438 666 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83731 10605 561 896 100 0 0 0
OW 0 25 75 881 157 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 9 1110 814 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 783 185 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 528 4132 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 197 3441 656 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83731 10600 561 964 118 0 0 0
OW 0 27 69 797 205 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 14 1099 755 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 156 741 146 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 572 4141 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 3471 656 0

Date: 2023-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86214 8540 502 855 71 0 0 0
OW 0 37 87 1102 102 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 15 1036 544 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 154 636 118 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 514 4190 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 3711 601 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86214 8520 500 1067 74 0 0 0
OW 0 51 82 938 118 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 19 964 550 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 168 569 87 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 567 4189 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3743 601 0

Date: 2023-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86080 8899 475 786 86 0 0 0
OW 0 7 105 644 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1402 351 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 129 923 67 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 455 4939 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3050 495 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86080 8811 471 1300 96 0 0 0
OW 0 78 82 886 182 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 23 604 519 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 127 481 200 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 575 3787 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 4066 422 0

Date: 2023-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86635 8536 457 1007 87 0 0 0
OW 0 21 94 835 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 828 546 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 588 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 350 5180 185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 2563 874 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86635 8464 432 1459 115 0 0 0
OW 0 78 100 803 252 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 19 381 443 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 93 423 227 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 418 4053 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 3566 874 0

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86312 9036 527 1055 9 0 0 0
OW 0 76 120 880 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 621 485 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 118 509 103 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 480 5416 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1568 1630 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86312 9006 540 1585 77 0 0 0
OW 0 91 97 565 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 17 381 390 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 105 357 228 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 554 4122 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2720 1653 0


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